AP Top 25 Heat Check: After top-tier, parity reigns in poll
By RALPH D. RUSSO, Associated Press
Nov 12, 2018 1:56 AM CST
Florida quarterback Feleipe Franks (13) shushes the crowd after scoring a touchdown against South Carolina during an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 10, 2018, in Gainesville, Fla. (Lauren Bacho/The Gainesville Sun via AP)   (Associated Press)

As No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Clemson pummel almost everything sight, parity has swept through most of college football.

This week's AP Top 25 included 10 teams with at least three losses, including two — No. 24 Northwestern and No. 25 Mississippi State — checking in at 6-4. The last time two 6-4 teams were ranked at this point in the season was 1999.

Right behind the Crimson Tide and Tigers is No. 3 Notre Dame, unbeaten, and a handful of highly ranked teams with one-loss. The drop off after that is stark. Only two teams in Power Five conferences have two-losses through 11 weeks. Compare that to the previous five years, when there was never less than seven two-loss Power Five teams at this point and as many as 10 in 2014 and last year.

As poll voter Matt Brown from The Athletic pointed out, 51 teams have appeared in the poll this season, matching the most for any season since the rankings expanded to 25 in 1989. The other year with 51 to be ranked at some points was 2008. The latest to debut this season was Northwestern.

Heat check takes a look at the voters' work this week and encourages a little more imagination in times of parity.

No. 1 Alabama (10-0)

Next: vs. The Citadel

Good week for QB Tua Tagovailoa to rest that balky knee. Got to love that SEC grind.

Heat check: Just right.

No. 2 Clemson (10-0)

Next: vs. Duke.

QB Trevor Lawrence will be NFL-draft eligible in 2021.Plan to tank, accordingly.

Heat check: Just right.

No. 3 Notre Dame (10-0)

Next: vs. No. 12 Syracuse in New York.

The Irish rested their banged up QB against Florida State to save him for Syracuse. That statement really does sum up how this season has played out outside of the very top teams.

Heat check: Just right.

No. 4 Michigan (9-1)

Next: vs. Indiana.

Karan Higdon has the first 1,000-yard rushing season by a Michigan running back since 2011 — which is almost hard to believe.

Heat check: Just right.

No. 5 Georgia (9-1)

Next: vs. UMass.

Conventional wisdom on the Bulldogs has been: not quite as good as last year's team. Well, with TB D'Andre Swift starting to hit stride, it's getting closer. Swift is averaging 9.9 yards per carry the last three games.

Heat check: Just right.

No. 6 Oklahoma (9-1)

Next: vs. Kansas.

No, firing the defensive coordinator was not the solution. That doesn't necessarily mean it didn't need to be done.

Heat check: Just right.

No. 7 West Virginia (8-1)

Next: at Oklahoma State.

The Mountaineers are the only team in FBS with two receivers with at least 10 touchdown catches — David Sills IV (12) and Gary Jennings Jr. (10).

Heat check: Just right.

No. 8 Washington State (9-1)

Next: vs. Arizona.

Gardner Minshew II has 98 more completions than the next-closest quarterback in FBS and nobody spreads the ball around better. The Cougars' leading receiver (Dezmon Patmon) ranks 56th in the country with 52 receptions.

Heat check: Too hot.

No. 9 Ohio State (9-1)

Next: at Maryland.

J.K. Dobbins has been held under 4.0 yards per carry in five of his last six games, getting at least 10 carries in each. Been a disappointing sophomore season for the talented back.

Heat check: Too hot.

No. 10 LSU (9-1)

Next: vs. Rice

The Tigers are currently on pace to have their worst offense in yards per play (5.13) since 2009. This season has been one long magic trick for the Tigers.

Heat check: Too hot.

No. 11 UCF (9-0)

Next: vs. No. 19 Cincinnati.

Could the Knights beat Washington State and Ohio State? Maybe. The better question at this point is what have those teams done to really earn the benefit of the doubt and a better ranking?

Heat check: Too cold.

No. 12 Syracuse (8-2)

Next: vs. No. 3 Notre Dame in New York.

Simply by averting the calamities that have befallen so many other Top-25 teams over the last month, the Orange have reached unthinkable — and probably unwarranted — heights.

Heat check: Too hot.

No. 13 Texas (7-3)

Next: vs. No. 18 Iowa State.

The Longhorns pass defense has fallen apart under injuries and inexperience, allowing three straight games of at least 300 yards and 67 percent completions.

Heat check: Just right.

No. 14 Utah State (9-1)

Next: at Colorado State.

Another team that has been propelled by the failures of others.

Heat check: Too hot.

No. 15 Florida (7-3)

Next: vs. Idaho.

Heat check understands it's hard to believe, but, yes, this is what a top-15 team looks like in 2018.

Heat check: A touch too cold.

No. 16 Penn State (7-3)

Next: at Rutgers.

Led by DEs Yetur Gross-Matos and Shareef Miller, the pass rush has become the Nittany Lions most reliable weapon. They are tops in the Big Ten and sixth in the country with 34 sacks.

Heat check: Too cold.

No. 17 Washington (7-3)

Next: vs. Oregon State.

Good week to get the offense going against the Beavers' woeful defense ahead of the Apple Cup.

Heat check: Too cold.

No. 18 Iowa State (7-3)

Next: at No. 13 Texas.

Things got nasty at the end of the game against Baylor and a punch thrown by Big 12 leading rusher David Montgomery is likely to leave the Cyclones without the star tailback for the first half at Texas.

Heat check: Too cold.

No. 19 Cincinnati (9-1)

Next: at No. 11 UCF.

RB Michael Warren II is tied for second in the country with 17 rushing touchdowns.

Heat check: Just right.

No. 20 Kentucky (7-3)

Next: vs. Middle Tennessee.

The Wildcats have gone five straight games without breaking 17 points and are currently tied with Kansas for 109th in the country in scoring.

Heat check: Just right.

No. 21 Utah (7-3)

Next: at Colorado.

The Utes always seem to have another running back. Armand Shyne stepped in for the injured Zack Moss and ran for 174 yards against Oregon.

Heat check: Too cold.

No. 22 Boston College (7-3)

Next: at Florida State.

Can BC finish strong if QB Anthony Brown (unspecified internal injury) can't play? The uncertainty would have Heat Check looking for another team for this week's top 25.

Heat check: Too hot.

No. 23 Boise State (8-2)

Next: at New Mexico

The Broncos are back in the rankings and two weeks away from a monster Mountain West game against Utah State on the blue turf.

Heat check: A touch too cold.

No. 24 Northwestern (6-4)

Next: at Minnesota.

The Wildcats are the darndest team; hammered by injuries and not particularly good at anything but winning close games.

Heat check: Too hot.

No. 25 Mississippi State (6-4)

Next: vs. Arkansas.

That defense is without a doubt worthy of a ranking, but the whole team?

Heat check: Too hot.

Should be in: Reward Group of Five teams, UAB, Army and Buffalo. Should be out: BC, Northwestern, Mississippi State.

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Follow Ralph D. Russo at https://twitter.com/ralphDrussoAP and listen at https://www.podcastone.com/AP-Top-25-College-Football-Podcast

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More AP college football: https://apnews.com/Collegefootball and https://twitter.com/AP_Top25

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