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Breaking News
fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com News
THE GRID
POPULAR
FRONT PAGE
Today
Yesterday
After Rulings,
Gay Marriage
Access to
Double
analysis
Jun 27, 2013 4:22 AM CDT
One Reason
Cardinals May
Have Picked
a 76-Year-Old
NATE SILVER
Mar 14, 2013 12:13 PM CDT
Rhetoric Shifts From 'Gun Control' to 'Gun Rights'
nate silver
Dec 15, 2012 8:47 AM CST
Nate Silver:
GOP Better
Adapt to 'New
Reality'
analysis
Nov 8, 2012 5:42 PM CST
Nate Silver:
Obama's Shot
at Winning: 91.6%
PUNDIT ROUNDUP
Nov 6, 2012 7:44 AM CST
Ohio Might Matter as Much
as Other States Combined
nate silver
Oct 23, 2012 4:40 PM CDT
advertisement
Should We Believe
Gallup's Poll?
opinions
Oct 19, 2012 10:46 AM CDT
Polls Suggest 'Decent' Bounce for Obama
nate silver
Sep 8, 2012 10:41 AM CDT
Not Much
Post-Convention
Bounce for Mitt
Nate Silver
Sep 2, 2012 6:03 AM CDT
Ignore
Obama's
'13-Point
Lead'
nate silver
Jun 21, 2012 3:55 PM CDT
Nate Silver's 1st Forecast:
Obama By a Nose
Analysis
Jun 7, 2012 1:50 PM CDT
Romney Needs to Go Positive, Win Some Fans
Nate Silver
Feb 14, 2012 11:46 AM CST
advertisement
Romney's In
for a Long,
Messy Fight
Nate Silver
Feb 8, 2012 12:01 PM CST
Now
All
the Polls Love Mitt
nate silver
Jan 29, 2012 5:21 PM CST
Gingrich
the Favorite
in Florida
Nate Silver
Jan 25, 2012 2:00 PM CST
Why the Heck Is Perry Still In?
Nate Silver
Jan 5, 2012 1:55 PM CST
Romney's
'Ugly' Win Is
Still a Big Win
nate silver
Jan 4, 2012 1:19 PM CST
In Iowa, Expect the Unexpected
Nate Silver
Jan 3, 2012 10:32 AM CST
advertisement
Careful, Mitt: You Could Lose
Nate Silver
Dec 27, 2011 11:19 AM CST
Pundits, If You're So Sure Cain Will Lose, Take This Bet
nate silver
Oct 27, 2011 12:37 PM CDT
Stats Can't Explain Sox Collapse
Nate Silver
Sep 29, 2011 7:37 AM CDT
Look Out Democrats,
2012 Is Looking Like 2010
nate silver
Sep 14, 2011 12:47 PM CDT
S&P's Ratings
Are Worthless
Nate Silver
Aug 8, 2011 12:45 PM CDT
Governors Have a Big Advantage in Primaries
Nate Silver
Jun 15, 2011 1:58 PM CDT
advertisement
Debate Helped
Rick Perry,
Hurt Palin
nate silver
Jun 14, 2011 12:51 PM CDT
Here's Why You Kept
Losing at Online Poker
Apr 21, 2011 12:29 PM CDT
If Trump Is on Top,
GOP Needs Fresh Blood
nate silver
Apr 13, 2011 2:09 PM CDT
How Nate Silver Fills Out
His NCAA Bracket
March Madness
Mar 14, 2011 3:54 PM CDT
Sorry, HuffPo Bloggers,
You're Not Worth Anything
NATE SILVER
Feb 13, 2011 6:41 AM CST
Airlines' Crowded Planes
Slow Storm Recovery
analysis
Dec 28, 2010 1:38 PM CST
advertisement
Come 2012,
Follow These Polls
nate silver
Nov 5, 2010 10:23 AM CDT
No Way to
Predict Size of
GOP Gains
nate silver
Nov 1, 2010 12:35 PM CDT
Democrats
Pick Up Steam
in Senate Races
Nate Silver
Oct 14, 2010 1:27 PM CDT
Can Murkowski Win
as a Write-In? Yes
nate silver
Sep 18, 2010 11:36 AM CDT
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