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Goldman Sees $2T Credit Shortfall, Major Slowdown

Nobel winner, investment firm warn of growing risk

By Jim O'Neill,  Newser User

Posted Nov 16, 2007 10:44 AM CST

(Newser) – The subprime mortgage crisis that has cost financial companies $400 billion and triggered what one banker is calling the worst housing market since the Great Depression will force a $2 trillion credit squeeze that could set off a “substantial recession” in the US, reports Bloomberg. Goldman Sachs said the economy could grow a sluggish 1.9% in 2008.

Nobel-prize winning economist Joseph Stiglitz, meanwhile, says ex-Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan, who stepped down in 2006, “really made a mess of all this.” Greenspan’s advocacy of variable-rate mortgages set off a “consumption binge” fueled by easy access to credit. He also faulted President Bush’s 2001 tax cut, calling the administration’s fiscal policy an example of “macro economic mismanagement.”

Nobel Prize-winning economist from Columbia University, Joseph Stiglitz.
Nobel Prize-winning economist from Columbia University, Joseph Stiglitz.   (Getty Images)
A foreclosure sign tops a sale sign outside an existing home on the market in northwest Denver in this Aug. 29, 2007 file photo.  As the housing market crumbles, homeowners are worried about mortgage payments and sellers are worried about slumping prices_ but the companies that insure their loans are...
A foreclosure sign tops a sale sign outside an existing home on the market in northwest Denver in this Aug. 29, 2007 file photo. As the housing market crumbles, homeowners are worried about mortgage...   (Associated Press)
Nobel Laureate and economist Joseph Stiglitz.
Nobel Laureate and economist Joseph Stiglitz.   (Associated Press)
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