Public Policy Polling caused a stir with last week’s poll showing Ron Paul leading in Iowa, and it looks like the result wasn’t a fluke. PPP’s numbers barely budged this week, with Paul leading Romney 24% to 20% and both comfortably ahead of the rest of the pack—Gingrich is at 13%, Michele Bachmann at 11%, Ricks Perry and Santorum tied at 10%, and Jon Huntsman lagging with 4%. What’s more, voters actually believe the serial gadfly can win, with 29% predicting a Paul victory, compared to 15% for Romney.
That roughly tracks with Intrade, where betters are currently giving Paul a 57.8% chance of victory in the state, to 32.4% for Romney. Of course, Iowa isn’t everything; Intrade still pegs Romney’s chances of winning the nomination at 74%, to just 7.2% for Paul. And Romney sure seems unconcerned about the prospect of losing Iowa. “I'm not exactly sure how all this is going to work, but I think I'm going to get the nomination if we do our job right,” Romney told New Hampshire volunteers yesterday, according to the Wall Street Journal. Another interesting tidbit from the poll: Romney has apparently solved his Fox News problem, leading amongst regular viewers with 27%, ahead of Gingrich at 16%, Bachmann at 15%, and Paul at 12%.