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Economists See Rising Risk of Recession

Nearly all in survey say Fed must take strong action, cut rates

By Jim O'Neill,  Newser User

Posted Dec 11, 2007 6:59 AM CST

(Newser) – Economists are painting a bleak picture of the US economy next year, with the housing mess, reduced job growth, and rising unemployment putting the likelihood of recession at its highest level in three years, the Wall Street Journal reports. Nearly all the economists surveyed by the paper said the Fed must take strong action to support recovery.

The Fed, said one, should act to “avert risk of recession and stabilize the financial crisis." Of 52 economists, 88% say the Fed needs to cuts rates today. The 52 economists surveyed say the potential for recession is 38%, up from 33.5% in November. The group also said Rudy Giuliani (35%) would be best for the economy, followed by John McCain (19%).

Trader Michael Scagnelli bites his fingernail as he works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Dec. 10, 2007. Wall Street advanced Monday as expectations for an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve and an uptick in pending home sales helped offset concerns about another round...
Trader Michael Scagnelli bites his fingernail as he works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Dec. 10, 2007. Wall Street advanced Monday as expectations for an interest rate cut from...   (Associated Press)
A foreclosure sign tops a sale sign outside an existing home on the market in northwest Denver in this Aug. 29, 2007 file photo. The Bush administration has hammered out an agreement with industry to freeze interest rates for certain subprime mortgages for five years in an effort to combat...
A foreclosure sign tops a sale sign outside an existing home on the market in northwest Denver in this Aug. 29, 2007 file photo. The Bush administration has hammered out an agreement with industry to...   (Associated Press)
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke speaks at the 2007 Charlotte Chamber annual meeting in Charlotte, N.C. on Thursday, Nov. 29, 2007. (AP Photo/Nell Redmond)
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke speaks at the 2007 Charlotte Chamber annual meeting in Charlotte, N.C. on Thursday, Nov. 29, 2007. (AP Photo/Nell Redmond)   (Associated Press)
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