Gingrich Expects to Lose in Nevada, Michigan Campaign dials back expectations, sets sights on caucus states By Kevin Spak, Newser Staff Posted Jan 31, 2012 9:42 AM CST 2 comments Comments Republican presidential candidate former House Speaker Newt Gingrich's shadow is seen during campaign stop, Monday, Jan. 30, 2012, in Orlando, Fla. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke) (Newser) – It doesn't look like Newt Gingrich will win in Florida today, and his campaign doesn't think he'll win the next contest either. A campaign spokesman tried to dial back expectations today, telling CNN that Gingrich wasn't expecting much from Nevada—which holds its caucuses five days from now—or Michigan. "The toughest one is Nevada," he said. Mitt Romney won the state in 2008, thanks in large part to Mormon voters, who made up about a quarter of all caucus-goers. Michigan, meanwhile, is Romney's home state. Still, Gingrich's camp believes it can pick up enough support in other February contests like Arizona, Minnesota, and Colorado to hang on until Super Tuesday, when a bevy of southern states vote. But Gingrich is at a big organizational disadvantage from here on out, the Boston Globe observes—he started his Nevada operation just days ago, and isn't even on the ballot in Virginia. "We're behind the eight-ball," Gingrich's national finance chair admitted.