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Momentum Makes Obama the Leader

Shift in white voters is sparking shift in black voters

By Jonas Oransky,  Newser Staff

Posted Dec 14, 2007 1:04 PM CST

(Newser) – Hillary Clinton’s double-digit lead in national polls is “meaningless,” says MSNBC’s Howard Fineman, and her campaign is in danger of collapse because the race’s direction—toward Barack Obama—is what matters. Black voters are waiting to see whether Obama can win over whites in Iowa and New Hampshire, Fineman theorizes, before abandoning Clinton.

"She is in danger of losing all four early contests, including Nevada and South Carolina," Fineman writes. Indeed, black voters are gravitating toward the erstwhile underdog, the Wall Street Journal says, with four polls showing Obama leading among South Carolina African-Americans. But the Journal argues that Clinton’s constituency is more likely to go to the polls.

US-POLITICS-OBAMA
US-POLITICS-OBAMA   (Getty Images (by Event) Individuals)
Hillary Clinton Gives Major Policy Address In New Hampshire
Hillary Clinton Gives Major Policy Address In New Hampshire   (Getty Images)
Democratic presidential hopefuls, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y. and Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., applaud at the start of the Democratic debate at the Cox Pavilion at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas Thursday, Nov. 15, 2007 in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/ Ronda Churchill)
Democratic presidential hopefuls, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y. and Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., applaud at the start of the Democratic debate at the Cox Pavilion at the University of Nevada, Las...   (Associated Press)
Democratic presidential hopefuls Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., and Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., pass each other during a break in a debate at Drexel University in Philadelphia, Tuesday, Oct. 30, 2007. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
Democratic presidential hopefuls Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., and Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., pass each other during a break in a debate at Drexel University in Philadelphia, Tuesday, Oct. 30,...   (Associated Press)
Barack Obama, then Democratic senatorial candidate, prays during a services at Trinity United Church of Christ in Chicago in this Oct. 31, 2004 file photo.  Obama's made religion a signature part of his campaign through his own public appearances in places where Democrats rarely venture, and a faith-based voter mobilization,...
Barack Obama, then Democratic senatorial candidate, prays during a services at Trinity United Church of Christ in Chicago in this Oct. 31, 2004 file photo. Obama's made religion a signature part of his...   (Associated Press)
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