With 74 days until the election and three days until the Republican convention, one major poll has President Obama and Mitt Romney in a dead heat. The CNN/ORC International poll reports that among likely voters, 49% will vote for Obama and 47% for Romney, a statistical tie. Among all registered voters, which includes those who might sit this one out, the president leads 52% to 43%.
"Likely voters have traditionally been a more Republican group in past elections because they tend to turn out in higher numbers than Democrats, and 2012 looks like it is no exception," says CNN's polling chief. The survey also indicated that nearly 90% of likely voters know who they're going to back.