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Polls Suggest 'Decent' Bounce for Obama

He ticks up in the major ones: Nate Silver

By John Johnson,  Newser Staff

Posted Sep 8, 2012 10:41 AM CDT

(Newser) – Nate Silver sifts through the latest polls and finds good news for President Obama after the Democratic convention, he writes at his FiveThirtyEight blog for the New York Times:

  • Gallup: Obama leads Mitt Romney by 3 points, up from 1. The president's Gallup approval ratings also rose, to 52%.
  • Rasmussen: Obama trails Romney by 1 point, but he had trailed by 3.
  • Ipsos: He leads Romney by 2 points, up by 1.

Some potentially big caveats apply, including lackluster reviews for Obama's speech and that weak jobs report yesterday, but "so far, this data is tracking toward a decent-size convention bounce for Mr. Obama," writes Silver. This doesn't bode well for Romney, he adds, given that the Republican entered the conventions trailing slightly and doesn't seem to have made up any ground. Silver's forecast has Obama with a 78.1% chance of winning. Read the full piece here.

President Obama addresses the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, N.C., on Thursday.
President Obama addresses the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, N.C., on Thursday.   (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)
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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 154 comments
Nora_Kit
Sep 9, 2012 1:21 AM CDT
I just don't understand it that at the Democratic convention why the big roar chanting death to God over and over.  Why would anyone in this country hate God.  We have had 70 years of plentiful food.  We have built an empire, homes, businesses, schools, infrastructure.  We have had our families and raised our children.  We can worship without fear of being killed.  We can openly speak the truth and report abuses by the government.  I mean this is so crazy.  To hear thousands hating God like that I wonder where did these people come from.  Our government cannot take our guns then turn around and invade our homes and shoot us defenseless.  God has so blessed us.  Many countrys do not have these freedoms and then we turn and hate God?  What the hay?  I can name a perfect example.....Russia has none of these freedoms....just naming one.
chowching
Sep 8, 2012 8:43 PM CDT
  There has never been a more seductive magician than Obama, women swoon when listening to his soft spoken words; Obama`s pearly smile is enough to open the hearts of every romantic female. A recent ABC poll of women showed him leading Romney by 25 points in the likable index. Young women voters are Obama`s biggest fans. He is adored by 90% of white and 99% of black college gals. His magical charm is sure to make him a ladies man president.
schmidtkoff
Sep 8, 2012 7:08 PM CDT
go obama! a decent HONEST man who wants to level the playing field for the middle class. all you newser yea sayers for romney must be in his 1%'ers club. who knew? if not then you are truly delusional. romney will make an america that you won't recognize. he's not for the average joe. he thinks an average joe is a poor cup of coffee. but how would he know? he doesn't drink the stuff no more than he interacts with "the average joe". go ahead. vote for him and lyin' ryan. just don't cry in your milk, (can't say beer, he don't do alcohol either) and bitch about his and ryan's draconian policies after they're in office.

 
Mitt Romney • Democratic National Convention • polls • Election 2012 • President Obama • Mitt Romney 2012

 
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