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Ohio Might Matter as Much as Other States Combined

It's close to being a 'must-win' for each candidate: Nate Silver

By John Johnson,  Newser Staff

Posted Oct 23, 2012 4:40 PM CDT

(Newser) – If you live in Ohio and aren't a big fan of political ads, you'd be well advised to turn off your TV for two weeks. Consider this stat from Nate Silver at the New York Times: He and his numbers minions ran 40,000 Electoral College simulations yesterday, and the candidate who won Ohio won the election 95% of time. So yes, it's possible to lose Ohio this year and still win the White House, but it wouldn't be easy. Concludes Silver: "Unlikely does not equal impossible, but Ohio is central enough in the electoral math that it now seems to matter as much as the other 49 states put together." Read the details here.

President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden greet each other on stage during a joint campaign event at Triangle Park in Dayton, Ohio, Tuesday.
President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden greet each other on stage during a joint campaign event at Triangle Park in Dayton, Ohio, Tuesday.   (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)
Mitt Romney speaks during a campaign rally in Cincinnati earlier this week.
Mitt Romney speaks during a campaign rally in Cincinnati earlier this week.   (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)
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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 21 comments
OhioDem
Oct 25, 2012 3:58 PM CDT
I'd love to move to a state that isn't a swing state in this election.  If I see one more political ad, its  a million too many.  I vote that we abolish super pacs and put a ban on radio and television ads in the next election cycle.
milo7453
Oct 24, 2012 2:03 AM CDT
While in 2008, 33 percent of the 1,158,301 absentee ballots went to Democrats and just 19 percent to registered Republicans, a 14-point gap, this year 29 percent are being requested by Democrats and 24 percent by Republicans, a five-point gap.
Bulls-Eye
Oct 23, 2012 9:07 PM CDT
I suppose the only benefit of living in a state that is a given for Obama is that we have hardly any political ads running.  

 
Ohio • Election 2012 • Obama 2012 • Mitt Romney 2012

 
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