What's Brewing in NH?

A look at some key factors shaping the nation's first primary
By Jonas Oransky,  Newser Staff
Posted Jan 4, 2008 10:42 PM CST
Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., waves to supporters in front of the State House after filing her declaration of candidacy papers to have her name on the ballot for...   (Associated Press)
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(Newser) – With the Iowa caucuses behind us, the New Republic pivots to New Hampshire. The second state to vote will do so Tuesday. What’s in play:

  • Independents. They make up 40% of the electorate and can vote for either party. Barack Obama and John McCain tend to poll well in this group.
  • Youth. In 2004, New Hampshire had massive youth turnout. Obama's been turning out young voters, but Hillary Clinton scores well with them.

  • Organization. Bill Clinton’s legacy is strong, but so is Obama’s team. Across the aisle, Mitt Romney dominates.
  • Endorsements. McCain generally rules the Republican side; no clear leader among Democrats.
  • Odds and ends. Rudy Giuliani has flown the coop for Florida, boosting McCain. And Obama’s support has gradually risen for 2 months.