Rove: Romney's Going to Win a Squeaker
Poll numbers, early results all in Romney's favor, says Karl Rove
By Mark Russell, Newser Staff
Posted Nov 1, 2012 1:09 PM CDT
Karl Rove speaking to members of the media on Dec. 1, 2011 in Sandestin, Fla. Rove thinks poll numbers point to a narrow win for Mitt Romney on Tuesday.   (AP Photo/Northwest Florida Daily)

(Newser) – Political guru Karl Rove may be predicting a Mitt Romney win next week, but at least he's keeping his predictions more modest than Dick Morris' "landslide." Instead, Rove notes in the Wall Street Journal that Romney has a thin lead in national polls—he's ahead in 19 out of 31 national surveys, averaging to a 48.4% to 47.2% advantage. Rove also points to early voting numbers, arguing they show a weaker Democratic turnout compared to four years ago and better numbers for Republicans.

In key state Ohio alone, Democrat early votes are down 181,275 from 2008, while Republicans are up 75,858—that's a 257,133-vote swing, which nearly equals President Obama's winning margin from last election, 262,224. Add up the data, along with Romney's better crowd sizes and other intangibles, and Rove thinks next Tuesday will belong to Romney. "Let's call it 51% to 48%, with Mr. Romney carrying at least 279 Electoral College votes, probably more," writes Rove. Read his full piece here.

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Showing 3 of 110 comments
Nov 2, 2012 10:22 PM CDT
cuz this turd knows all about "squeakers"
Nov 2, 2012 2:05 PM CDT
One Mormon predicting a win for another Mormon. You better watch out what you wish for!! The Book of Mormon prophecy says that the day will come when the Constitution is about to be destroyed and the Mormon Church will step forward to take control and save the Nation. THEN we will have a Theocracy in the U.S. just like we do in Utah. Bleeehhhh!
Nov 2, 2012 9:54 AM CDT
Oh no he won't!