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Nate Silver: GOP Better Adapt to 'New Reality'

Party faces 'structural disadvantage' unless it adjusts

By John Johnson,  Newser Staff

Posted Nov 8, 2012 5:42 PM CST

(Newser) – Nate Silver has a right to gloat, but his first post-election blog post at the New York Times resists the urge. Well, mostly: He acknowledges a "very strong night" and links to a glowing CNET review. Silver does, however, admit to getting one thing wrong on election night: Turns out the "tipping point" state for President Obama as defined by his formula was Colorado, not Ohio as he forecast.

Republicans might take heed that Silver thinks they face a "structural disadvantage" in coming elections given that crucial states are turning bluer. "The Republican Party will have four years to adapt to the new reality," he writes. "Republican gains among Hispanic voters could push Colorado and Nevada back toward the tipping point, for example." Read the full post here. Or read about the (fake) "drunk Nate Silver" Twitter meme here.

That's a victorious Barack Obama somewhere in that confetti.
That's a victorious Barack Obama somewhere in that confetti.   (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 70 comments
Murahu
Nov 9, 2012 10:22 AM CST
Blacks voted about 95% for the Democrats, as usual.  Hispanics voted 70% for the Democrats.  The Democrats promised to retain and expand anti-white discrimination (affirmative action).  Obama lies each time he announces we should all play by the same rules for he requires affirmative action so that each race plays by different rules, and preferences are granted to the Democratic Party pet groups. As the Democratic Party is the anti-white party, perhaps the GOP should become the pro-white party.  The Democrats already accuse the GOP of being the white party.  So let it become true!  Openly campaign on ending affirmative action; show how illegals who get amnesty will have a-a preferences over native-born citizens; urge deportation of illegals; death penalty for murderers; prosecution of Black racist flash mobs, etc.  Then perhaps the GOP could be just as racist as the Democrats.  And the GOP, with 70% or even 95% of the white vote would win many more elections easily. 
professortech
Nov 9, 2012 10:22 AM CST
Please conservatives continue to "Stand your ground". Don't give in to those who would advise you to change to survive. Stay as conservative as you are, and if possible become even more conservative.Be proud to hold tight to your beliefs regardless of what anyone tells you. Stick to the Dick Morris, Karl Rove, Fox News take on the story and ignore all of those nasty little FACTS that disagree with your BELIEFS. By the wa,y after you follow that plan, be sure to say hello to the Federalists, the Jacksonian Democrats and the Whigs while you are all sitting there on the dustbin of failed American Political history.
reallybig
Nov 9, 2012 9:55 AM CST
HEY Nate, The ONLY reality is the Republicans need to find a way to win 5 states in the next election. --- The Republicans need to find a way to win Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, and Colorado, or one other. --- That is REALLY the only reality of this US election, and everything else you say is strictly BULLSHIT. --- I said it, and I'll stand behind it. --- Your full of shit. ------ REALLY

 
Nate Silver • Election 2012 • Obama 2012 • Mitt Romney 2012

 
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