Scarborough to Nate Silver: I'm Sorry, Sorta
Admits Silver was right, but still calls early predictions a 'fool's errand'
By Liam Carnahan, Newser Staff
Posted Nov 21, 2012 9:38 AM CST
This photo of MSNBC on air personality Joe Scarborough was released in New York, Wednesday, March 30, 2006.    (AP Photo/MSNBC, Craig Blankenhorn)

(Newser) – Joe Scarborough is ready to give what he calls a "(semi) apology" to pollster Nate Silver. The two tussled over whether Silver's ultimately accurate early election predictions were appropriate in a race that Scarborough felt was "in flux" at the time. But after talking with Silver on his show yesterday, Scarborough, who himself said early in the game that Obama would win, issued a sort of mea culpa by way of Politico. While "predicting an outcome to the nearest thousandth of a decimal point several weeks out seemed like a fools' errand (and still does)," he's willing to admit Silver was right.

That's largely because Silver was smart enough to build his model around the "right" state polls (Gallup and Rasmussen, for instance, got it wrong). Scarborough says he "won't apologize to Mr. Silver for predicting an outcome that I had also been predicting for a year. But I do need to tell Nate I'm sorry for leaning in too hard and lumping him in with pollsters whose methodology is as rigorous as the Simpsons' strip mall physician, Dr. Nick." He closes by declaring that he was "too tough" on Silver ... and that "there's a 84.398264% chance I will be less dismissive of his good work in the future." Click for his full piece.

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Showing 3 of 18 comments
Nov 25, 2012 1:48 AM CST
Tragi-comic how Scarborough's "apology" reveals that he STILL actually doesn't get it. He "explains" things to gullible people while he himself hasn't a clue. The approach of many who don't understand science, and who are steeped in "punditry", "gut-feel" and "seat-of the pants" witchcraft. He still thinks both he and Silver were winging it and Silver lucked out!
Nov 22, 2012 7:01 AM CST
Joe should go over to Fox news, thats where all the bigots and assholes are
Nov 21, 2012 5:24 PM CST
I just read the report on Joe's secretary that died in his office. Boy it sure appears to be a major cover up. Why there was people saying Joe could have been evolved in a murder. Old Joe did not take long to resign from office. What Joe needs to do is resign from MSNBC also.