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Rudy Needs Florida to Take NY

Anything but first or a super-close second puts tri-state success in jeopardy

By Emily Thompson,  Newser User

Posted Jan 17, 2008 2:00 PM CST

(Newser) – Rudy Giuliani's supporters predict a distant finish in Florida's Jan. 29 primary will cost him in Feb. 5 voting in strongholds New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut. A strategy of focusing on Florida while ignoring early states has seen Giuliani plummet in Republican polls. "If he carries Florida, he carries New York," one former adviser told the New York Times, but "I wouldn't bet on it."

A win or close second in Florida should bring Giuliani victory in the New York tri-state area on Super Duper Tuesday; the three winner-take-all states would give him 183 delegates, about 15% of what's needed to clinch the nomination. And his focus on Florida isn't exactly paying off—polls show he's fallen into a dead heat with McCain, Romney, and Huckabee.

Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani addresses patrons at a  fundraiser for Maryland Gov. Robert Ehrlich  in this file photo from July 12, 2006 in Baltimore. Giuliani has always been known as a rare-breed Republican who favors abortion rights. As he seeks the GOP nomination in a party dominated...
Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani addresses patrons at a fundraiser for Maryland Gov. Robert Ehrlich in this file photo from July 12, 2006 in Baltimore. Giuliani has always been known as a...   (Associated Press)
Rudolph Giuliani is seen in Philadelphia, on Dec. 13, 1982, when he was an associate attorney general. The Republican patronage machine was in full motion early in the Reagan era, with countless positions to be filled by the faithful. From his high perch at the Justice Department, Rudy Giuliani was...
Rudolph Giuliani is seen in Philadelphia, on Dec. 13, 1982, when he was an associate attorney general. The Republican patronage machine was in full motion early in the Reagan era, with countless positions...   (Associated Press)
New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, right, dressed in drag as a role in Victor/Victoria, sings with Julie Andrews at the New York Hilton in this March 1, 1997 file photo, during an event presented by the Inner Circle.  Shocking New Yorkers is difficult, yet Giuliani teetered close to the line...
New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, right, dressed in drag as a role in "Victor/Victoria," sings with Julie Andrews at the New York Hilton in this March 1, 1997 file photo, during an event presented by the...   (Associated Press)
Republican Presidential Candidate former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, right, signs autographs following his campaign stop at Gulf Coast Community College, Wednesday, Jan. 16, 2008, in Panama City, Fla.  (AP Photo/Phil Coale)
Republican Presidential Candidate former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, right, signs autographs following his campaign stop at Gulf Coast Community College, Wednesday, Jan. 16, 2008, in Panama City,...   (Associated Press)
Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani speaks during the New York Republican State Committee's Annual State Dinner in New York, Thursday, May 17, 2007. (AP Photo/Shiho Fukada)
Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani speaks during the New York Republican State Committee's Annual State Dinner in New York, Thursday, May 17, 2007. (AP Photo/Shiho Fukada)   (Associated Press)
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