Nate Silver: Bachmann's Exit Great for GOP
Stats guru thinks Democrats now less likely to take the district
By Kevin Spak, Newser User
Posted May 30, 2013 8:46 AM CDT
This image taken from michelebachmann.com, shows Congresswoman Michele Bachmann making a video announcement on her website.   (AP Photo/michelebachmann.com)

(Newser) – We told you yesterday that Democrats would rue the day Michele Bachmann threw in the towel, but now Nate Silver has crunched the numbers to confirm it. In his New York Times blog, Silver plots out Democratic House candidates' performance alongside how well President Obama fared in that district. Bachmann's very conservative district is among those in which the Democrat significantly outperformed Obama.

Most of the other outperforming Democrats came when the blue team "had a longtime incumbent of their own running—not when they were running against one." Democrats could still pick up Bachmann's seat, but don't bet anything on it—the odds "might now be on the order of 5% to 10%, versus perhaps 40% with Mrs. Bachmann on the ballot," Silver says. Click for his full column.

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Showing 3 of 51 comments
1492
May 30, 2013 10:59 PM CDT
Beautiful Michelle Bachman will be the GOP Vice Presidential Candidate....Why? Because America loves beautiful people. 1942
Iffida
May 30, 2013 10:52 AM CDT
Oh my, I was hoping she would run for President again, and would chose Sarah Palin for VP, talk about a lying team they would sure cap the stack. Just thankful she is not running again.
reallybig
May 30, 2013 10:37 AM CDT
TRUTH BE TOLD .... This is an "opinion" from Nate Silver who writes for the lying left-wing news NY Times BLOG. THE OPINION .. of the Nate Silver BLOG .. is his personal bias dislike for Michele Bachmann .. not fact. Only morons, idiots, and imbeciles, believe his crap .. and they are known .. as .. being Democrats. FACT ..... Instead of Michele representing her House district .. she'll be free to represent the whole country, in a new political blog .. just like Nate Silver, and Sarah Palin .. and make a hell of a lot more money, doing it. My opinion? .. like the Nate Silver opinion? .. like the lying left-wing NY Times blog? ------------------ REALLY