Obama Edges McCain in New Poll

Contest held today would be tight; Clinton ties with GOP leader
By Rob Quinn,  Newser Staff
Posted Feb 12, 2008 11:50 AM CST
Signs for Republican Presidential hopeful, Sen. John McCain R- Ariz. and Democratic Presidential hopeful, Sen. Barack Obama D-Ill. are posted in the New Hampshire snow. A new poll shows that Obama would...   (Associated Press)
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(Newser) – It would be close, but Barack Obama would beat John McCain if the presidential election were held today, an AP-Ipsos poll shows. A McCain-Hillary Clinton contest would come out nearly even. The numbers highlight the deep divide between Obama and Clinton supporters, with roughly a third of each saying they'd sooner vote for McCain than the other Democrat.

Obama leads both McCain and Clinton among moderates, a group both parties will target. McCain is the undisputed GOP frontrunner, but only a minority of evangelicals and conservatives favor him. Obama outdoes Clinton among male voters, particularly those under 45: He holds a 9-point advantage over McCain in that group, but McCain bests Clinton in that same demographic by 7 points.