10 Key Factors in Wisconsin Vote

Here's what may tip the results either candidate's way
By Jonas Oransky,  Newser Staff
Posted Feb 19, 2008 5:48 PM CST
Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., accompanied by actress Kerry Washington, makes remarks at the Wisconsin Democratic Party Dinner Saturday, Feb. 16, 2008, in Milwaukee, Wis. (AP...   (Associated Press)
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(Newser) – With Wisconsin voting winding down, "it's anybody’s state,” says Slate’s Chadwick Maltin. Here are five reasons Clinton could win. (Obama's follow):

  1. The demographics are perfect: 90% are white, and most are lower-income moderates.
  2. Polls here are seesawing, and they’re due to swing in Hillary’s favor.
  3. Attacks on Obama’s refusal to debate and plagiarism may have curbed his support.

  1. Media backlash against Barack might have taken hold in ordinary citizens here.
  2. Republicans may vote for Clinton in an open primary, looking to prolong the fight.
And five reasons Obama could hold the line:
  1. In the open primary, independents can vote for him.
  2. Neighboring states (including Illiniois) have mostly gone for the Chicagoan.
  3. Nasty weather may have kept many Clinton-loving older voters at home.
  4. Barack has campaigned in Wisconsin twice as much as his rival.
  5. Momentum may finally mean something: Dems want a candidate already.