With Wisconsin voting winding down, "it's anybody’s state,” says Slate’s Chadwick Maltin. Here are five reasons Clinton could win. (Obama's follow):
- The demographics are perfect: 90% are white, and most are lower-income moderates.
- Polls here are seesawing, and they’re due to swing in Hillary’s favor.
- Attacks on Obama’s refusal to debate and plagiarism may have curbed his support.
- Media backlash against Barack might have taken hold in ordinary citizens here.
- Republicans may vote for Clinton in an open primary, looking to prolong the fight.
And five reasons Obama could hold the line:
- In the open primary, independents can vote for him.
- Neighboring states (including Illiniois) have mostly gone for the Chicagoan.
- Nasty weather may have kept many Clinton-loving older voters at home.
- Barack has campaigned in Wisconsin twice as much as his rival.
- Momentum may finally mean something: Dems want a candidate already.