Which Will Change Color in November?

Post 's Cillizza pegs Iowa as most likely to flip
By Jonas Oransky,  Newser Staff
Posted Mar 14, 2008 7:06 PM CDT
Democratic presidential candidate New York Sen. Hillary Clinton (left), Illinois Sen. Barack Obama and Arizona Sen. and presumptive Republican nominee John McCain (right) are focused on November.   (Getty Images)
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(Newser) – Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are bragging about which states they might flip. The Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza has a top-10 list, ranked in order (only New Hampshire and Minnesota appear headed red):

  1. Iowa: The Democrats get “HUGE” points for their diligence in primary season, while John McCain was AWOL.
  2. New Mexico: It’s all about savvy Bill Richardson’s influence. The Land of Enchantment is always a virtual tie.

  1. Nevada: One of the fastest-growing states, Nevada’s always shifting. Dems' attention in the newly early primary helps.
  2. Colorado: The Centennial State has the biggest head of progressive steam in the country.
  3. Ohio: Recent elections have shown a blue streak, but the GOP has skills on the ground.
  4. Virginia: Mac’s military base will help him, but the northern suburbs are booming with new lefties.
  5. New Hampshire: McCain is simply beloved in the Granite State.
  6. Florida: Republicans still have the upper hand, but Candidate Clinton would surge here.
  7. Minnesota: If Gov. Tim Pawlenty gets the veep spot, this close call could turn red.
  8. Missouri: Show Me-ers are socially conservative, but have a popular new Dem senator.