Cruz Opens Up a Dizzying 10-Point Lead Over Trump

'Des Moines Register' poll has seen Texan gain 21 points since October
By Polly Davis Doig,  Newser Staff
Posted Dec 13, 2015 6:03 AM CST
Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, speaks to supporters at the Crossroads Shooting Sports gun shop on Friday, Dec. 4, 2015, in Johnston, Iowa.   (Bryon Houlgrave/The Des Moines Register via AP)
camera-icon View 2 more images

(Newser) – Bad news for Donald Trump in Iowa, where Ted Cruz last week stole his polling thunder—registering a five-point lead among likely caucusgoers—and is currently continuing to open up that spread in what a pollster calls a "big shakeup." Cruz now has a 10-point lead in the latest Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics poll out Saturday night, polling at a hefty 31% in what the Register notes is "a 21 percentage-point leap that smashes records for upsurges in recent Iowa caucuses history." Cruz's dizzying rise came fast: He was polling at just 10% in October. His success comes at the expense of Ben Carson, who topped the October poll at 28% in October, and has since seen his support plunge 15 points. Time is finally beginning to run out, with the caucuses seven weeks away, notes Politico.

Following Cruz in the poll: Trump at 21%, Carson at 13%, Marco Rubio at 10%, Jeb Bush at 6%, and the rest of the pack coming in at 3% or less. That's bad news for Rand Paul, who needed a 6% showing to keep him from being booted from the main stage at Tuesday's Republican debate in Las Vegas. But Cruz could keep climbing, notes the Register, with 20% of those polled naming him as their No. 2 choice, giving him 51% when first- and second-choice candidates are combined. "It's certainly possible that he could win Iowa big—very big," an expert says. (Read more Ted Cruz stories.)

My Take on This Story
Show results without voting  |  
21%
7%
4%
28%
21%
19%