How This Weekend's Voting Could Shake Out
Will Donald Trump be hurt by the raucous events of the week?
By Kate Seamons,  Newser Staff
Posted Mar 5, 2016 8:35 AM CST
A supporter of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump holds up a sign as he speaks at a campaign rally in New Orleans, Friday, March 4, 2016.   (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)

(Newser) – More Americans will line up and vote for their Republican or Democrat of choice this weekend. On Saturday, Kansas, Louisiana, Kentucky (GOP only), Maine (GOP only), and Nebraska (Democratic only) vote; on Sunday, Maine's Democrats get their turn, and Puerto Rico holds its Republican primary. How things could shake out:

  • Reuters points out that only registered Republicans can vote in Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, and Maine. "The exclusion of the independent voters who have helped Trump's surge adds an air of uncertainty."
  • So what do the polls say? We'll just quote directly from the AP: "There are no polls to speak of. OMG."
  • ABC News shares the storylines it's tracking. Among them: Will Trump be handed more caucus defeats? While Trump has won 9 of 11 primaries, he's only taken 1 of 4 caucus states—which Kansas, Kentucky, and Maine happen to be.

  • Though the number of delegates up for grabs is small (fewer than 200 for each party), at Fortune, Ben Geier sees the weekend as a bit of a bellwether. "If Trump wins despite this week's raucous events, the GOP establishment’s fears that he is simply a teflon candidate could prove accurate."
  • Politico reports some wins could be in the cards for Bernie Sanders, as "three of the four states voting this weekend are in the Sanders sweet spot: Kansas, Maine, and Nebraska are caucus states with largely white populations." Wins would provide "a burst of momentum on the eve of the Michigan primary, a contest that the Sanders campaign has identified as pivotal."