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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 23, 2009
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 ANALYSIS 
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Demos to Watch in Pa. Vote

Breaking down the groups that will decide the election

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(Newser) – Some of the election season’s most intriguing demographics will be out in force in today’s Pennsylvania primary. The Wall Street Journal breaks down who they are and how they might vote in November.

  • Working-class white males mostly went red in 2006, supporting Republicans by a 14-point margin. Increased economic worries could swing some, but will they cross gender or racial lines?

  • Young voters love Barack Obama. Their primary turnout has tripled compared to 2004, but they vote less than other demographics and may skip November.
  • Rural voters have long been a problem for Democrats, and "Bittergate" won’t help.
  • Hispanics have soured on Republicans since 2004, but John McCain is counting on them.

Hillary Rodham Clinton speaks with a man in the crowd during a campaign rally in Scranton, Pa., Monday, April 21, 2008.
Hillary Rodham Clinton speaks with a man in the crowd during a campaign rally in Scranton, Pa., Monday, April 21, 2008.   (AP Photo/Elise Amendola)
Barack Obama addresses the crowd as he makes a campaign stop at Reading High School, in Reading, Pa., Sunday, April 20, 2008, in Reading, Pa.
Barack Obama addresses the crowd as he makes a campaign stop at Reading High School, in Reading, Pa., Sunday, April 20, 2008, in Reading, Pa.   (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., right, addresses the crowd at the University of Pittsburgh on a campaign stop in Pittsburgh, Monday, April 21, 2008.
Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., right, addresses the crowd at the University of Pittsburgh on a campaign stop in Pittsburgh, Monday, April 21, 2008.   (AP Photo/Keith Srakocic)
Hillary Rodham Clinton reacts to the cheering crowd during a rally on the campus of the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia, Monday, April 21, 2008.
Hillary Rodham Clinton reacts to the cheering crowd during a rally on the campus of the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia, Monday, April 21, 2008.   (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
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Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • John McCain • demographics • Pennsylvania primary • Election 2008 • the Hispanic vote • working-class vote • general election • young voters

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