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Hispanic Dems Could Make GOP Nervous in Fla.

Sunshine State might not be such a sure bet for McCain in Nov.

By Katherine Thompson,  Newser Staff

Posted May 5, 2008 11:16 AM CDT

(Newser) – Registered Democrats will take a lead among a crucial demographic for the first time this week: Hispanic Floridians. The GOP has lost ground in its traditional stronghold for the last 2 years, and its slide might give the Democrats a shot at the critical state and its 27 electoral votes in November, Politico reports. National Dems had largely been ready to cede, but now, "They absolutely need to be in Florida," says the state chair.

But Dems' chances might depend on the candidate. Florida has a dense population of retirees, Jews, and Hispanics—all groups with which Hillary Clinton has fared better in the primary season. But while Florida may be easier for Clinton to bag than for Barack Obama, "Republicans should rightly still be considered the favorites in 2008," a political scientist says.

Hector Ramirez, left, volunteers to help Hispanics register to vote and become involved in the electoral process. For the first time, Hispanic Democrats will outnumber Republicans in Florida.
Hector Ramirez, left, volunteers to help Hispanics register to vote and become involved in the electoral process. For the first time, Hispanic Democrats will outnumber Republicans in Florida.   (AP Photo/John Raoux)
The flip from a Republican to Democratic majority among Hispanic voters is mostly symbolic, but the symbol is powerful in a historic election year.
The flip from a Republican to Democratic majority among Hispanic voters is mostly symbolic, but the symbol is powerful in a historic election year.   (AP Photo/Isaac Brekken)
Supporters of Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., cheer as they wait for her arrival in Davie,  Fla., Tuesday, Jan. 29, 2008.
Supporters of Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., cheer as they wait for her arrival in Davie, Fla., Tuesday, Jan. 29, 2008.   (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
Florida State University students show their support for Democratic Presidential candidate Barack Obama in front of Florida's Old Capitol, Tuesday, Jan. 29, 2008, in Tallahassee, Fla.
Florida State University students show their support for Democratic Presidential candidate Barack Obama in front of Florida's Old Capitol, Tuesday, Jan. 29, 2008, in Tallahassee, Fla.   (AP Photo/Phil Coale)
The nonpartisan group Democracia USA, created by People for the United Way Foundation, says that since 2004 it has registered 44,500 Hispanic voters across central Florida.
The nonpartisan group Democracia USA, created by People for the United Way Foundation, says that since 2004 it has registered 44,500 Hispanic voters across central Florida.   (AP Photo/John Raoux)
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