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September 5, 2008 5:44:31 PM CDT

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...And 5 in Oregon

Posted May 20, 08 12:36 PM CDT in Politics 

(Newser) – Oregon voters' sympathy for "the cool, cerebral type" bodes well for Obama in today's primary, according to the folks at Politico, who bring us five things to watch for in the Beaver State:

  1. How quick will it be called?—Oregon is three hours behind the eastern seaboard, but the mail-in votes can be quickly counted electronically.

  1. The strongholds—If Barack does well in Portland and the surrounding county, he can widen his margin. Hillary needs to perform in more rural southern and eastern Oregon, where Bill's been stumping.
  2. Marion County—Salem and environs have predicted the statewide margin in the last two incumbent-less primaries; Hillary would need a double digit win here to pull off an upset
  3. Demographics—Obama has the potential to eat into traditional Clinton blocs, like women and blue-collar voters.
  4. Turnout—It could be the highest since Kennedy v. McCarthy in '68.

Source Politico

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Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., waves to supporters at Waterfront Park in Portland, Ore., Sunday, May 18, 2008.   (AP Photo/Chris Carlson)
Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., tours small shops as she campaigns in Salem, Oregon Friday, May 16, 2008.   (AP Photo/Elise Amendola)
Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., smiles during a rally in the Memorial Quad on the University of Oregon campus in Eugene, Ore., Friday, May 9, 2008.   (AP Photo/Ryan Gardner)
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Barack Obama  • Hillary Clinton  • election 2008  • blue-collar vote  • female voters  • Oregon primary


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