The GOP's best case-scenario sees the party losing only three Senate seats this fall. Washington Post blogger Chris Cillizza runs down the races most likely to flip a vote:
- Mississippi: Trent Lott replacement Roger Wicker has never been elected statewide, and Barack Obama's coattails should draw in the large black population.
- Minnesota: Al Franken remains promising, but he's no sure thing, thanks to back taxes and Playboy bylines.
- North Carolina: Elizabeth Dole’s ties to President Bush aren't helping here.
- Louisiana: The chances of only vulnerable Democrat, Mary Landrieu, may rise or fall on the turnout for Obama.
- Oregon: An Independent Party candidate has dropped his bid, clearing the way for Jeff Merkley.
For the scoop on the top five, click the link below.