Senate Seats Most Likely to Flip (Only 1 to GOP)
New Dems from VA, NM, CO likely
By Jonas Oransky,  Newser Staff
Posted Jun 13, 2008 1:51 PM CDT
Former governor Jeanne Shaheen, D-N.H. listens to her Republican rival U.S. Rep. John Sununu .   (AP Photo/Jim Cole, File)
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(Newser) – The GOP's best case-scenario sees the party losing only three Senate seats this fall. Washington Post blogger Chris Cillizza runs down the races most likely to flip a vote:

  1. Mississippi: Trent Lott replacement Roger Wicker has never been elected statewide, and Barack Obama's coattails should draw in the large black population.
  1. Minnesota: Al Franken remains promising, but he's no sure thing, thanks to back taxes and Playboy bylines.

  1. North Carolina: Elizabeth Dole’s ties to President Bush aren't helping here.
  1. Louisiana: The chances of only vulnerable Democrat, Mary Landrieu, may rise or fall on the turnout for Obama.
  1. Oregon: An Independent Party candidate has dropped his bid, clearing the way for Jeff Merkley.
For the scoop on the top five, click the link below.