Barack Obama now holds an 11-point margin over his rival in the state that decided the 2004 election. As recently as March, John McCain led in Ohio 49% to 41%; three months later, a significant shift finds Obama winning 50% to 39%. Talking Points Memo notes that polling organization PPP was “almost exactly right” in its pre-vote survey of the Democratic primary.
A separate poll shows Obama up nationally by 4 points among registered voters and 6 points among all adults. In some bad news for McCain, only 34% say the Iraq war was worth the fight, while 63% feel it was not. Indeed, 55% want troops withdrawn instead of staying to maintain civil order.