Swing States Loom Large

Insiders look at which might move left or right
By Jonas Oransky,  Newser Staff
Posted Jun 24, 2008 5:35 PM CDT
2004 presidential election map   (Wikipedia)
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(Newser) – Forget the old swing-state conventional wisdom. Salon rounds up some experts and asks where the electoral map might flip in November:

  • The eastern Rust belt (Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan) is John McCain’s best hope. Ohio is traditionally weakest for Democrats, but the Michigan primary remains a problem, and aging Pennsylvanians are GOP-friendly.

  • The flood plain (Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa) should be more solid for Obama than it was for Kerry, but Republicans aren’t conceding it.
  • The southwest (New Mexico, Nevada, Colorado) is Obama’s big pick-up opportunity. Says a strategist: “One of these candidates is going to wake up the day after and say, ‘What happened?’”
  • Virginia has three immensely popular Democratic politicians, energized blacks and Hispanics, and shifting suburbs.