October 11, 2008 5:24:44 AM CDT
(Newser) – Barack Obama currently leads John McCain 47% to 43%, but does that mean anything this early? Yes and no. Early July Gallup polls have correctly predicted the eventual popular vote winner in 10 of the last 15 elections, but they missed the mark in four of the last five. Politico looks back.
Source Politico
Sep 24, 08 4:31 AM CDT Wall Street's worries are working in Barack Obama's favor, according to a new Washington Post/ABC News poll. The candidate has opened up his first clear lead of the race against John McCain, 52% to 43%, with much of the boost coming from voters who see him as more capable of dealing with the economic woes facing the nation. More »
Sep 10, 08 8:07 AM CDT John McCain and Barack Obama are running neck-and-neck Stateside, but if planet Earth were casting votes for US president, Obama would be collecting his key to the White House. The BBC polled more than 22,000 people in 22 countries, who picked Obama over McCain by a margin of 4 to 1. People in Kenya, birthplace of Obama's father, favored the Democrat the most —by a margin of 82%. More »
Aug 20, 08 7:10 PM CDT Another poll, another batch of bad news for Barack Obama. A new NBC/Wall Street Journal survey says John McCain has cut Obama's lead by half in the last month and now trails only 45% to 42%. That slim margin makes the race a statistical dead heat. A flurry of other major polls out today reached the same conclusion, and one, from Reuters/Zogby, put McCain ahead by 5 points. More »
Aug 20, 08 3:56 AM CDT The race for the White House is a statistical dead heat, indicating that weeks of attack ads from the McCain camp may be working, the Los Angeles Times reports. A Times/Bloomberg poll found Barack Obama holding a 45% lead to John McCain's 43%, which falls within the poll’s margin of error. Obama led by 12 points in the same poll in June. Obama's favorabilty rating has dropped from 59% to 48% since the same poll in June. More »
Aug 13, 08 1:25 PM CDT Despite a persistent surge of enthusiasm from supporters, current polls indicate that Barack Obama's numbers lack the telltale signs of a November landslide, Politico reports. In five out of the six postwar landslides—a victory of 10% or more—the winner was ahead by at least 10% at the end of August. Obama is currently polling ahead by 2% to 5%. More »
Barack Obama • John McCain • Election 2008 • history • opinion polls • Election 2000 • Gallup poll • Election 2004
