Despite a persistent surge of enthusiasm from supporters, current polls indicate that Barack Obama's numbers lack the telltale signs of a November landslide, Politico reports. In five out of the six postwar landslides—a victory of 10% or more—the winner was ahead by at least 10% at the end of August. Obama is currently polling ahead by 2% to 5%.
Some contend the critical factor preventing Obama from polling higher by now is his race.
Says a managing director of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research: “If the Democratic nominee were a white male from a red or purple state, the theory would be dead on that this would be set up, there would be a very, very high probability for a Democratic landslide."