Conventional wisdom hold that African-Americans are overwhelmingly against gay marriage, but recent trends in voting show blacks have more problems with homophobia than any other group, writes gay-issues scholar Timothy Stewart-Winter for the LA Times. In fact, "views on same-sex marriage are a rapidly moving target that's tough to pin down, even for experts."
Stewart-Winter evaluates a raft of apparently contradictory statistics and evidence, contrasting African-Americans' attitudes with those of other minority groups and focusing on California, where the November ballot includes a ban on same-sex marriage. "The foregone conclusion is that this means trouble for gay newlyweds, " he writes. "Don't bet on it."