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Black Voters May Tip House Contests

Obama coattails could mobilize enough to play decisive role in at least 10 districts

By Kevin Spak,  Newser Staff

Posted Oct 21, 2008 11:41 AM CDT

(Newser) – With black voters expected to come out in record numbers on Nov. 4, Democrats think a surge could flip as many as 10 hotly contested House districts in their favor, the Washington Post reports. “I was just thinking about the need to vote Democratic down the line,” said one black Barack Obama supporter, “because the president is going to need help in Congress.”

Pollsters expect an African-American turnout as high as 70%, well above the 56% in 2004. Candidates notice that kind of voting power; with Connecticut Republican Chris Shays even running an ad linking himself to Obama. “It’s kind of wild what’s going on here,” said one political scientist. Only 11% of Shays’ district is black, but “that’s where the energy seems to be.”

Spectators wait for Barack Obama during a rally on the College of Charleston campus in Charleston, SC, Thursday, Jan. 10, 2008.
Spectators wait for Barack Obama during a rally on the College of Charleston campus in Charleston, SC, Thursday, Jan. 10, 2008.   (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
Spectators reacts to the words of Barack Obama during a rally on the College of Charleston campus in Charleston, SC, Jan. 10, 2008.
Spectators reacts to the words of Barack Obama during a rally on the College of Charleston campus in Charleston, SC, Jan. 10, 2008.   (AP Photo)
Barack Obama shakes the hands of several youths during a rally in Charleston, SC, Jan. 10, 2008.
Barack Obama shakes the hands of several youths during a rally in Charleston, SC, Jan. 10, 2008.   (AP Photo)
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Republican Connecticut incumbent says he supports Obama (and McCain, too!) in this ad.   (ShaysForCongress)

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You have an election ... where African Americans are enormously excited and mobilized. Not only that, you have the Obama campaign going out of its way to make sure these voters ... turn out. - David Bositis, expert on
black voting patterns

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