John McCain isn’t gaining any ground in the polls, according to FiveThirtyEight, which pegs Obama’s odds of victory at 96.7% to McCain’s 3.3%. As of yesterday, polls predict a final electoral score of 351-187, numbers unchanged from the day before. National tracking polls showed minuscule moves in McCain’s direction, but that hasn’t shown up in state-by-state polling.
Obama, meanwhile, is picking up voters in solidly blue and, to a lesser extent, red states, widening his popular vote margin. Pollsters have also begun reaching a consensus about many battleground states. Missouri, North Carolina, and Florida appear up for grabs, but Ohio, Nevada, Colorado, and Virginia are all leaning Obama’s way. And Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, and Pennsylvania seem solidly blue.