5 Predictors in Georgia Runoff

By Harry Kimball,  Newser Staff
Posted Dec 2, 2008 1:31 PM CST
Jim Martin thanks hip hop artists T.I., left, Jeezy, second from left, and Ludacris for their support during an election rally held on the capitol steps today.   (AP Photo)
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(Newser) – If Saxby Chambliss defeats Jim Martin in the Georgia Senate runoff today, Democratic hopes of a 60-seat majority will be dashed, Politico reports. Here are five things to look for as voters go again to the polls.

  • Turnout: Martin's hopes ride on higher than average black participation, which happened Nov. 4 but is doubtful today.

  • DeKalb County: Obama scored 79% of the vote in this rich, majority black area, and Martin 76%; if the challenger can't hold this bastion, stick a fork in him.
  • The 'burbs: Chambliss has been losing ground in areas where he once polled strongly; if the trend continues, he could be in for a tough battle.
  • Polls: watchers predicted Election Day results with great accuracy, and they've been favoring Chambliss, with the caveat that black turnout is notoriously unpredictable.
  • The Election: the Web will be buzzing about the effect of Barack Obama, who did not actively campaign for Martin, and Sarah Palin, who spent many days in the state.