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Cramer Is Fun, Informative, and Mostly Wrong

By Kevin Spak,  Newser Staff

Posted Feb 7, 2009 3:08 PM CST

(Newser) – With Wall Street in shambles, Jim Cramer’s ratings are higher than ever—which is fine as long as you ignore his stock picks, Bill Alpert writes in Barron’s. Cramer doles out thousands of buy/sell recommendations a year that consistently underperform the market. Alpert examined Cramer’s record from May to December last year, and found that while Cramer’s sells beat the market by 5%, his more numerous buys lost up to 10% more.

The only time Cramer’s bullish picks reliably rose was before he picked them—which suggests Cramer largely picks on momentum, and could explain his underperformance when the stocks revert to the mean. But CNBC refuses to acknowledge its star’s record. “You wrote a premeditated hatchet job to curry favor with your new bosses at News Corp,” a CNBC exec told Alpert.

In this May 12, 2008 file photo, TV Personality Jim Cramer arrives at the NBC Universal Experience at Rockefeller Center in New York.
In this May 12, 2008 file photo, TV Personality Jim Cramer arrives at the NBC Universal Experience at Rockefeller Center in New York.   (AP Photo/Peter Kramer, file)
Jim Cramer interviews NASCAR drivers during the taping of NBC's 'The American Dream'  on May 23, 2008 at Lowe's Motor Speedway in Concord, North Carolina.
Jim Cramer interviews NASCAR drivers during the taping of NBC's 'The American Dream' on May 23, 2008 at Lowe's Motor Speedway in Concord, North Carolina.   (Getty Images)
Jim Cramer, host of CNBC's Mad Money, attends the opening bell of the Nasdaq stock market on Wednesday, Jan. 16, 2008 in New York.
Jim Cramer, host of CNBC's Mad Money, attends the opening bell of the Nasdaq stock market on Wednesday, Jan. 16, 2008 in New York.   (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan)
Jim Cramer, host of CNBC's Mad Money, attends the opening bell of the Nasdaq stock market on Wednesday, Jan. 16, 2008, in New York.
Jim Cramer, host of CNBC's Mad Money, attends the opening bell of the Nasdaq stock market on Wednesday, Jan. 16, 2008, in New York.   (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan)
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Cramer is wildly inconsistent, and the performance of individual picks varies widely... it is impossible to know with confidence that any sample of Cramer's recommendations will enable you to outperform the market. - Bill Alpert, Barron's

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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 4 comments
riffran
Feb 8, 2009 6:10 AM CST
mitch who?
MarkFL
Feb 8, 2009 3:27 AM CST
Don't they know that if someone speaks loudly they are more correct? Certainly his volume tells us that these stats are wrong.
Sammy
Feb 7, 2009 11:05 PM CST
I have followed Jim Cramer for years and do not find Mr. Alpert's piece on him to be reflective of my own personal experience. Stock picks are a small part of what he does. Education on the ways of Wall Street is his forte. If stocks picks are all you are looking for there are many other places to go.

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