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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 8, 2009
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 ANALYSIS 
3

Uncertainty, Not Poverty, Behind Recession Blues

It's not the lack of funds, it's the lack of knowing that brings us down

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(Newser) – Americans are worrying more than they were last year, and happiness is down while sadness is up, writes Daniel Gilbert in the New York Times. But it’s not the lightness of our pocketbooks that’s weighing on us; it’s the uncertainty of the times. While most of us still have more than our grandparents ever did, the possibility of losing it makes us sick.

“People feel worse when something bad might occur than when something bad will occur,” Gilbert says. For instance, Canadian researchers found a group told it was likely to develop Huntington’s disease was happier a year later than a group that learned the possibility but not the risk. “Our national gloom is real enough, but it isn’t a matter of insufficient funds,” he concludes. “It’s a matter of insufficient certainty.”

Unemployed men queuing outside a Salvation Army hostel, circa 1935.
Unemployed men queuing outside a Salvation Army hostel, circa 1935.   (Getty Images)
A line of jobseekers snakes around the Whitcomb Hotel as they wait to enter the California Job Journal HIREvent Feb. 10, 2009, in San Francisco.
A line of jobseekers snakes around the Whitcomb Hotel as they wait to enter the California Job Journal HIREvent Feb. 10, 2009, in San Francisco.   (Getty Images)
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Americans have been perfectly happy with far less wealth than most of us have now, and we could quickly become those Americans again—if only we knew we had to.
- Daniel Gilbert, Harvard psychology professor

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3 comments
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freethemall
May 21, 09 3:34 PM CDT
This NYT pundit is full of crap! I think my son's, situation is typical. Because of this recession, resulting in the curtailment of overtime at his work place, his annual income is reduced by about 40K a year. It's not a matter of insufficient funds? Bull crap! Reply
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kokuaguy
May 22, 09 4:54 AM CDT
Well, Free, wouldn't it be easier for your son and his family to cope with if they knew how long it would take for the situation to turn around? For all your son (or any of us) knows, things may get worse and he may not even be sure of having a job. Reply
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freethemall
May 22, 09 9:13 AM CDT
You're right about that. I concur that the uncertainty that results from adversity, is a factor that is likely to adversely affect the recovery. The root cause, however, is the diminished purchasing power (lack of funds), resulting from credit tightening, layoffs, curtailment of overtime pay, etc,
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