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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 25, 2009
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15

How the Kindle Could Kill Book Publishing

...if an Apple e-reader doesn't kill the Kindle first

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(Newser) – With the Kindle, Amazon's Jeff Bezos may be poised “ to do to book publishers what Steve Jobs did to the music industry,” writes Adam Penenberg in Fast Company: rapidly create a market from nothing and use it to rule over publishers with an iron fist, perhaps even “phasing them out completely.” Amazon’s e-book revenue should reach $1.2 billion by next year, an analyst says, but to rule, Bezos needs to "nail down distribution of e-books, turn them into a mass-market phenomenon," and set e-book prices low enough—and Apple could spell trouble.

Apple has been rumored to be working on an e-reader, and the black-and-white Kindle could easily lose out to a snazzy, color multimedia tablet. That could be good news for publishers: It would create competition—and unlike Amazon, Apple doesn’t want “to usurp the publishers' role or to control content," Penenberg writes. "Suddenly, the hunter becomes the hunted, and if e-books take off, Amazon could find itself the odd man out."

Amazon.com CEO Jeff Bezos introduces the Kindle DX at a news conference Wednesday, May 6, 2009 in New York.
Amazon.com CEO Jeff Bezos introduces the Kindle DX at a news conference Wednesday, May 6, 2009 in New York.   (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan)
In this Oct. 14, 2008, file photo, Apple CEO Steve Jobs smiles during a product announcement at Apple headquarters in Cupertino, Calif.
In this Oct. 14, 2008, file photo, Apple CEO Steve Jobs smiles during a product announcement at Apple headquarters in Cupertino, Calif.   (AP Photo/Paul Sakuma)
The Kindle DX, displaying a page from The New York Times, is demonstrated at a news conference Wednesday, May 6, 2009 in New York.
The Kindle DX, displaying a page from The New York Times, is demonstrated at a news conference Wednesday, May 6, 2009 in New York.   (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan)
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Few consumers were talking about e-books until the Kindle arrived. Then it quickly began to coalesce an entire market—much as Apple and the iPod did to MP3s and MP3 players.
- Adam Penenberg

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15 comments
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Timinator2K
Jul 9, 09 8:27 PM CDT
Content providers will still rule out as there will be MANY e-reader makers...unlike operating systems that got monopolized early on. Reply
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Timinator2K
Jul 9, 09 8:31 PM CDT
Oh yeah, and here's a real non-prediction...every single e-book will have adverts sprinkled liberally throughout them...to "help keep costs down" will be the excuse...even though there are no printing or paper costs. Reply
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kokuaguy
Jul 10, 09 2:35 AM CDT
The textbook publishers have been making out like bandits for years, at the expense of those who are least able to pay.
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Rob
Jul 10, 09 8:37 AM CDT
Authors, editors and yes even agents need to be paid, along with all the other folks in the stream after the paper is already made. ePublishing still takes money.
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Cegorach
Jul 10, 09 11:52 PM CDT
@rob - yes, it does take money, but that money is a pittance compared to what traditional publishing costs... but i will say, the comparison to the music industry was way off, mainly because ebook readers of any sort are no where near as ubiquitous as mp3s were when the music industry dug its own grave, and there isn't anything like burned cds to aid in the spread
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