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Good News: We've Hit Bottom!

Of course, the bad news is: We've hit bottom!

By Kevin Spak,  Newser Staff

Posted Jul 24, 2009 9:13 AM CDT

(Newser) – Former Fed vice chairman Alan Blinder has some good news and some bad news about the economy, and it’s the same news: We’ve hit bottom. Third-quarter GDP should turn positive, and the fourth quarter could even hold an upside surprise. Growth of 3% or even 4% is utterly plausible. It’s basic arithmetic, Blinder writes for the Wall Street Journal: The sectors that have been posting insane double-digit declines have to at least go to zero.

Housing fell 39% in the first quarter; a move to 0% growth would be a mammoth improvement, sending GDP up 1%. The same will happen with autos, investment banking, and inventories. “None of these events are probabilities; they are all certainties,” Blinder writes. The downside? We’re at the worst point of the worst downturn since 1938. Employment will take years to recover. “Few people have reason to smile. (Bankruptcy lawyers maybe?)”

On the bright side, we're at an economic bottom. On the other hand, we're at an economic bottom.
On the bright side, we're at an economic bottom. On the other hand, we're at an economic bottom.   (Shutterstock)
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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 16 comments
IndependentThinker
Jul 24, 2009 10:02 AM CDT
I believe the 2 (King and Kinq) were here before the jackass (king). He used their names to discredit them. Correct me if I am wrong here.
Yourself
Jul 24, 2009 8:34 AM CDT
why would someone want to pretend to being CK? that's the most moronic thing i've read all day. It's sh*t like that that makes me hate forums.. no offence, but it's just plain stupid.
Toon
Jul 24, 2009 7:37 AM CDT
Note that there are two CKs 'corona kinG' and 'corona kinQ' It's an easy thing to overlook so its the lack of insults that has me looking at that last letter.

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