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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 27, 2009
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 ANALYSIS 
11

Republicans Gain Ground in Senate Races

Latest trends show even Reid, Spector, Dodd in trouble: Silver

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(Newser) – Things are looking brighter for Republicans in the Senate, writes Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com. In his monthly ranking of which seats are most likely to switch parties in 2010, Republicans have made a big move. Of the 10 seats that look more likely to switch hands, seven favor Republicans. “While there are still plenty of opportunities for Democrats,” he writes, “I believe that Republicans are now slightly more likely to gain seats.”

Here’s the top of the list, ranked in order of how likely they are to switch parties:

  1. Missouri (R-open): Still looks most likely to flip, despite fundraising gains by Roy Blunt.
  2. New Hampshire (R-open): Observers think Republican Kelly Ayotte’s too inexperienced to win.
  3. Connecticut (D-Chris Dodd): With the GOP primary up in the air, this is a toss-up.
  4. Nevada (D-Harry Reid): The majority leader now trails in polls against relatively no-name challengers.
For the full list, click the link below.

Arlen Specter talks with reporters after a Town Hall meeting, Aug. 12, 2009. Specter's seat is No. 10 on FiveThirtyEight's list.
Arlen Specter talks with reporters after a Town Hall meeting, Aug. 12, 2009. Specter's seat is No. 10 on FiveThirtyEight's list.   (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid speaks at the National Clean Energy Summit 2.0, Monday, Aug. 10, 2009, at The Cox Pavilion in Las Vegas.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid speaks at the National Clean Energy Summit 2.0, Monday, Aug. 10, 2009, at The Cox Pavilion in Las Vegas.   (AP Photo/Eric Jamison)
In this March 19, 2009 file photo, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Sen. Christopher Dodd, D-Conn. listens to witness testimony on Capitol Hill.
In this March 19, 2009 file photo, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Sen. Christopher Dodd, D-Conn. listens to witness testimony on Capitol Hill.   (AP photo/Harry Hamburg, FILE)
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11 comments
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Reader60610265
Aug 24, 09 12:11 PM CDT
This should make the 2010 election race interesting . I wonder what new deceptions will be used by both sides to con people into voting for the seats available? In the last election we had race and gender , but I think those will be hard to beat . I don't think the platform for change will work again ,or at least I hope not. Reply
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-2
IN RESPONSE:
Newser001
Aug 24, 09 12:36 PM CDT
Notice the key term, ' likely ' - Polls don't mean that much this far out in the game. With regard to trailing in the polls, it doesn't necessarily mean people are will to jump parties since they are so vehemently juxtaposed on the issues. Gun toting could cause more damage to the right than anyone could ever imagine. In the meantime, a NHS option might be passed without bipartisan cooperation, that is, if the right continues NOT to contribute... We'll see.
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+1
IN RESPONSE:
Newser001
Aug 24, 09 12:38 PM CDT
EDIT: willing NOT will
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+1
DontLikeYou
Aug 24, 09 2:41 PM CDT
ITs worse than is being reported. This is 1994 all over again and possibly much more. Bill Clinton was quite moderate compared to mr. Obama. The American people are going to return the Republican party to power in 2010 and back to the presidency as Mr. Carter, errr., I mean Mr. Obama becomes a 1 term wonder boy. Reply
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-2
IN RESPONSE:
Newser001
Aug 24, 09 4:44 PM CDT
Delusional, are we not...? Much can be accomplished before then.
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