Things are looking brighter for Republicans in the Senate, writes Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com. In his monthly ranking of which seats are most likely to switch parties in 2010, Republicans have made a big move. Of the 10 seats that look more likely to switch hands, seven favor Republicans. “While there are still plenty of opportunities for Democrats,” he writes, “I believe that Republicans are now slightly more likely to gain seats.”
Here’s the top of the list, ranked in order of how likely they are to switch parties:
- Missouri (R-open): Still looks most likely to flip, despite fundraising gains by Roy Blunt.
- New Hampshire (R-open): Observers think Republican Kelly Ayotte’s too inexperienced to win.
- Connecticut (D-Chris Dodd): With the GOP primary up in the air, this is a toss-up.
- Nevada (D-Harry Reid): The majority leader now trails in polls against relatively no-name challengers.
For the full list, click the link below.