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Republicans Gain Ground in Senate Races

Latest trends show even Reid, Spector, Dodd in trouble: Silver

By Kevin Spak,  Newser Staff

Posted Aug 24, 2009 11:47 AM CDT
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(Newser) – Things are looking brighter for Republicans in the Senate, writes Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com. In his monthly ranking of which seats are most likely to switch parties in 2010, Republicans have made a big move. Of the 10 seats that look more likely to switch hands, seven favor Republicans. “While there are still plenty of opportunities for Democrats,” he writes, “I believe that Republicans are now slightly more likely to gain seats.”

Here’s the top of the list, ranked in order of how likely they are to switch parties:

  1. Missouri (R-open): Still looks most likely to flip, despite fundraising gains by Roy Blunt.
  2. New Hampshire (R-open): Observers think Republican Kelly Ayotte’s too inexperienced to win.
  3. Connecticut (D-Chris Dodd): With the GOP primary up in the air, this is a toss-up.
  4. Nevada (D-Harry Reid): The majority leader now trails in polls against relatively no-name challengers.
For the full list, click the link below.

Arlen Specter talks with reporters after a Town Hall meeting, Aug. 12, 2009. Specter's seat is No. 10 on FiveThirtyEight's list.
Arlen Specter talks with reporters after a Town Hall meeting, Aug. 12, 2009. Specter's seat is No. 10 on FiveThirtyEight's list.   (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid speaks at the National Clean Energy Summit 2.0, Monday, Aug. 10, 2009, at The Cox Pavilion in Las Vegas.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid speaks at the National Clean Energy Summit 2.0, Monday, Aug. 10, 2009, at The Cox Pavilion in Las Vegas.   (AP Photo/Eric Jamison)
In this March 19, 2009 file photo, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Sen. Christopher Dodd, D-Conn. listens to witness testimony on Capitol Hill.
In this March 19, 2009 file photo, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Sen. Christopher Dodd, D-Conn. listens to witness testimony on Capitol Hill.   (AP photo/Harry Hamburg, FILE)
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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 7 comments
riffran
Aug 25, 2009 8:03 AM CDT
It's kinda neat to see, when the left gets in control they get out of control, and piss everybody off, then the right gets it back, gets out of control, pisses everybody off, then the left gets it and so on and so on
Shannonals
Aug 25, 2009 3:04 AM CDT
dontlikeyou, I'll bet you'll cry yourself to sleep if the GOP doesn't take ove in 2010. If the parties are balanced, than all your spewing means nothing
Caps
Aug 25, 2009 2:46 AM CDT
Libertyman, we lived under righwing dictatorship for the past 8 years. We should have kicked, which we did, some rightwing looney tunes ass in 2008. Have you forgotten????

 
Senate • New Hampshire • Harry Reid • Senate Democrats • Senate Republicans • Connecticut • Chris Dodd • Nevada • Roy Blunt • US Senate • Nate Silver • Election 2010 • Republicans • Kelly Ayotte

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