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Don't Fear Debt —Failed Reform Is Scarier

Krugman: We need deficits in a recession; they 'saved the world'

By Jason Farago,  Newser Staff

Posted Aug 28, 2009 6:19 AM CDT

(Newser) – Paul Krugman isn't surprised that the projected $9 trillion deficit over the next decade is being greeted as a sign of economic apocalypse—and that commentators think it proves health care reform should be scuppered. In fact, he writes in the New York Times, it's good to run a deficit during a recession; if anything, Washington should run "even larger deficits over the next year or two" to combat unemployment. Debt may be scary, but for political rather than economic reasons.

Right now the US can borrow at below 3.5%, and there's no real chance that the country's credit rating will suffer even with debt at 70% of GDP. What worries Krugman are politicians who may block efforts to bring down debt through reform, especially of health care costs. "That won't happen, of course, if even the most modest attempts to improve the system are successfully demagogued—by conservatives!—as efforts to 'pull the plug on grandma.'"

Demonstrators outside a town hall meeting on health care reform hosted by former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean and Rep. Jim Moran, D-Va., in Reston, Va., Tuesday, Aug. 25, 2009.
Demonstrators outside a town hall meeting on health care reform hosted by former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean and Rep. Jim Moran, D-Va., in Reston, Va., Tuesday, Aug. 25, 2009.   (AP Photo/Charles Dharapak)
Supporters and opponents of health care reform argue before the start of a town hall meeting hosted by Howard Dean and Rep. Jim Moran, D-Va.
Supporters and opponents of health care reform argue before the start of a town hall meeting hosted by Howard Dean and Rep. Jim Moran, D-Va.   (AP Photo/Charles Dharapak)
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Deficits here and in other major economies saved the world from a much deeper slump. The longer-term outlook is worrying, but it’s not catastrophic. The only real reason for concern is political. - Paul Krugman

If governments had raised taxes or slashed spending in the face of the slump, if they had refused to rescue distressed financial institutions, we could all too easily have seen a full replay of the Great Depression. Deficits saved the world. -

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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 10 comments
Doctor-Zaius
Aug 28, 2009 12:47 PM CDT
During WW2 the deficit reached 120% of GDP. By all of your logic the 50's should have been an economic wasteland yet it was one of the most prosperous times in our history. Do you know why? You save money when the economy is good and you borrow money when it's bad.
Corona_Kinq
Aug 28, 2009 12:29 PM CDT
I'm just guessing here but I'm gonna say a Nobel Prize winning economist knows more than you about economics. Debt and inflation might not be as black and white as you think.
SilenceDogood
Aug 28, 2009 11:53 AM CDT
How does one argue with such absurdity? To make a statement that national debt can reach 70% of GDP is insane. Dilution of money supply = inflation.

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