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Her Math Puts BCS Formula to Shame

22-year-old's algorithm is 70% accurate; college football's best hits just 56.6%

By Will McCahill,  Newser Staff

Posted Sep 26, 2009 5:13 AM CDT

(Newser) – The ranking system that determines who plays for college football’s national championship is derided nearly universally, not to mention annually, and though this year’s first set of Bowl Championship Series standings don’t come out until Oct. 18, the detractors might have a new champion: a 22-year-old undergrad at a small Oregon college that doesn’t even have a football team.

Pacific University’s Maggie Wigness has an algorithm that, based on games played in 1998-2008, got things right at better than a 70% clip—far better than the BCS formula’s score of 56.6%. And, Wigness tells the Oregonian ahead of her presentation of it Saturday at a Harvard symposium, “we didn’t look at the human factors at all”—unlike the BCS, which relies on two different polls of coaches and others.

Maggie Wigness, 22, has a formula that beats the BCS at its own game.
Maggie Wigness, 22, has a formula that beats the BCS at its own game.   (Facebook)
Wigness' formula doesn't come with a fancy trophy like the BCS' does.
Wigness' formula doesn't come with a fancy trophy like the BCS' does.   (AP Photo)
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It is exceptionally rare for one of the speakers to be an undergrad, like Maggie, and that doesn't even recognize the rarity of her coming from a small liberal arts college in Oregon. - Mark Glickman, the professor organizing Saturday's Harvard symposium

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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 10 comments
stacysaw
Sep 29, 2009 9:33 AM CDT
i'm about to agree with timinator - yes, a playoff system is overdue.
cognitivefilter
Sep 29, 2009 3:45 AM CDT
random!
riffran
Sep 27, 2009 12:21 PM CDT
try reading up on a few quantum physics theorums ....AHHHHHHHHHHHHHH the voices the voices......lol....THAT stuff will drive you batshit crazy also

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