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Obama Still a Safe Bet to Win Re-Election

Don't let the midterms or his ups and downs fool you

By Harry Kimball,  Newser Staff

Posted Apr 6, 2010 1:22 PM CDT

(Newser) – Much hay has been made over President Obama’s supposed vulnerability in 2012, Mark Halperin writes, but when you look at his probable challengers and his formidable political skills, his prospects seem positively rosy. Two legit Republican contenders exist at the moment: Mitt Romney “remains unexpectedly unfamiliar” (Halperin says a flight attendant mistook his picture on a book cover for John Edwards), and as for Tim Pawlenty—who’s that?

Add to that Obama’s massive fundraising advantage, Halperin writes in Time, predicting that the president could pull in $1 billion for the general election. He's a proven "fourth-quarter player" with unmatched oratory skills. “The drastic ups and downs of his first year in office and the likely losses his party will suffer in the November midterms have given a distorted view of his muscle for 2012," writes Halperin. His "political health" is "surprisingly robust."

President Barack Obama.
President Barack Obama.   (AP Photo)
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Obama can't be beaten by nothing, and as [Yogi Berra] liked to say, "It gets late out there early." The same thing could be said for a Republican field that won't be joining the game until closer to the twilight. - Mark Halperin

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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 97 comments
LibertyAtStake
Apr 7, 2010 3:44 PM CDT
AYKM? Obama does not even beat the evil, angry TEA Party as of today. This match up will evolve further to the benefit of the TEA Party between now and 2012. Take it to the bank.

http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

In my universe 48 beats 44.

http://libertyatstake.blogspot.../
[For a light hearted take on our present peril]


YetAnotherCollegeKid
Apr 7, 2010 3:33 AM CDT
http://www.realclearpolitics.c.../ is the go-to place for factual data (if you actually care about information on the state of the nation and aren't just looking for more shit to back up whatever you are pushing this week). Because they average all polls from the last month taken by reputable news groups on politicians like Obama (organisations like Pew, Fox, CNN, Gallup etc), they end up with the best possible estimate of a politician's approval rating and election chance. They were off by like 1 percent on Obama's election percentage, and accurately showed who would win just about every other position during the last election cycle.
Obama currently averages 47.9% approval to 46% disapproval. If there was an election tomorrow, he would almost certainly win it.
tomodachi
Apr 7, 2010 2:36 AM CDT
It must really suck to be a republican conservative these days...

They have to convince people the economy is still faltering and cratering... even when it isn't.

And they have to hope and pray people are dumb enough to believe them when they blame Obama for GWB's economic damage.
 

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