Fed Battles to Balance Rate Cuts, Inflation

(NEWSER) - The Federal Reserve anticipates the recession will continue through 2009 despite its recent rate slash and other planned “nontraditional policies,” the Wall Street Journal reports. Minutes of the Fed's December 15-16 meeting, at which it cut rates to nearly zero, indicate a deep pessimism about the economy. Officials expect the unemployment rate to keep rising as the GDP contracts. More»

As economy deteriorates, inflation becomes less of a concern

(NEWSER) - Mounting fears that the credit crisis and continually worsening economic data will push a stagnant US economy into a severe recession has spurred the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates from their current 2%, the Wall Street Journal reports. Even if the House follows the Senate in passing the $700 billion bailout, some action is likely. More»

Experts expect a last cut to 2% before the central bank stops and waits

(NEWSER) - The Federal Reserve may be ready to cool its torrid rate-cutting after a likely .25% percentage point cut at its meeting next week, the Wall Street Journal reports. Futures markets are betting Chairman Ben Bernanke is unlikely to rest just yet, with little change in the month-to-month economic picture, but will pause after that to assess the cuts' effect and avoid stoking inflation. More»

Wall Street's top firm sees two unhappy quarters ahead

(NEWSER) - Goldman Sachs is predicting that the economy will slide into a recession this year—which has Wall Street worried, because Goldman’s been right about everything else. The investment firm forecasts a mild pullback extending over two quarters, driving up already-growing unemployment. “If we don't get job growth we don't get income growth, we don't get consumer spending, and we do get a recession,” another firm’s economist told NPR. More»

'Policy-makers are in denial'

(NEWSER) - You know that recovery officials promise is underway? It's not happening, scoffs Paul Krugman, and he blames federal officials' reluctance to take responsibility. "This isn’t a recovery, in any sense that matters. And policy-makers should be doing everything they can to change that fact," he writes in the New York Times . The GDP is rising, but not nearly fast enough to bring down "sky high unemployment," he warns. "All of this is obvious. Yet policy-makers are in denial. Tim Geithner says, 'We're on the road to recovery.' No, we aren't." More»