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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 8, 2009
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NEWS ABOUT: exit polls

exit polls stories: 16 news summaries
Nate Silver

 Blame Weak 
 Candidates, 
 Not Obama 

Polling guru gives a post-mortem on last night's elections

Nov 4, 09 8:36 AM CST
(Newser) - The numbers are in, now it's time to make sense of them. Nate Silver breaks down last night's election results:
  • Don’t blame Obama; Creigh Deeds and Jon Corzine were probably just weak candidates. In New Jersey, 57% of voters approved of Obama, but 27% of those supporters voted
... More »

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gay marriage • New York City • Jon Corzine • New Jersey • New York • Michael Bloomberg • Virginia • exit polls • election • poll numbers • Nate Silver • Creigh Deeds • Christopher Christie • Bob McDonnell • Doug Hoffman • Bill Owens • Election 09 • election day November 2009

ELECTION DAY

Obama Is Minimal Factor in NJ, Va., Exit Polls Show

Majorities say president has no influence on vote

Nov 3, 09 8:17 PM CST
(Newser) - President Obama seems to have been a minimal factor in gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia, at least according to early exit polls. In Virginia, where Republican Bob McDonnell won, 55% said Obama wasn’t behind their vote; that figure was 60% in New Jersey, where the race was... More »

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Jon Corzine • New Jersey • Virginia • exit polls • gubernatorial races • President Obama • Creigh Deeds • elections • Christopher Christie • Bob McDonnell • Election 09

demographics

 Who Voted for Obama  

Politico breaks down the exit polls to understand the makeup of Obama's historic victory

Nov 5, 08 9:00 AM CST
(Newser) - How did the first African-American president piece together such a decisive winning coalition? In Politico, David Paul Kuhn picks apart the pieces of the Barack Obama vote:
  • Obama won a solid 43% of the white vote, matching Bill Clinton’s 1996 performance in that group and nearly Jimmy Carter’
... More »

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Barack Obama • John McCain • exit polls • Election 2008 • President Obama

Exit Polling

State Polling Results You're Not Seeing on TV

Obama has most leads, but take these with a big chunk of salt

Nov 4, 08 7:10 PM CST
(Newser) - Huffington Post got its hands on the exit polling information shared with media outlets at 5pm but not reported by television networks. They show Barack Obama leading in most swing states, though the HuffPo cautions that the numbers are extremely unreliable; believe at your own risk. The list has Obama... More »

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Barack Obama • John McCain • Obama 2008 • McCain 2008 • exit polls • Election 2008

exit polls

 Economy No. 1 Issue 
 for 62% of Voters 


Nov 4, 08 7:00 PM CST
(Newser) - The economy is the top issue for voters, today's exit polling confirmed, with 62%  of those interviewed saying it was their No. 1 priority. Iraq was most important to 10%, and terrorism and health care were each named by 9%. For those most concerned with the economy, CNN said, more... More »

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Barack Obama • John McCain • voters • exit polls • Election 2008

(Newser) - At 5 tonight, a wave of exit-polling results will be distributed to media insiders, who'll try manfully to resist sharing anything that might prejudice voters—even though it will kill them. At 6 pm, the results will start rolling in, and Politico gives you a play-by-play guide to what to... More »

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Barack Obama • John McCain • Missouri • Election Day • Senate race • exit polls • Election 2008 • swing states • battleground states • House race

Analysis

 Ignore Those Exit Polls! 

Sample sizes and enthusiasm gaps can skew results

Nov 4, 08 1:25 PM CST
(Newser) - Exit polls can be addictive for those who can't take Election Day suspense, but poll analyst Nate Silver recommends you resist the temptation. Here's why:
  1. Exit polls have high margins of error because they are taken at only a few precincts in a state.
  2. Exit polls overstated Democratic
... More »

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list • Democrat • voting • survey • exit polls • Election 2008 • early voting • sample size

ANALYSIS

McCain Camp Warning: Exit Polls Skew Democratic

They always favor Democrats, so just ignore them

Nov 4, 08 8:25 AM CST
(Newser) - John McCain is likely to underperform in exit polls, which historically favor Democrats, writes McCain’s pollster Bill McInturff in a memo reprinted by CQ Insider. In the last two presidential elections, exit polls have shown the Democratic candidate doing better than he ultimately did in the real vote count.... More »

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exit polls • Election 2008

 Talking Heads 
 Vow Restraint 
 ... Sort of 

Networks vow some restraint

Nov 4, 08 8:10 AM CST
(Newser) - Television news executives have vowed they won't jump the gun and project a president-elect until one man has 270 electoral votes. And they won't count electoral votes until polls are closed, reports the Los Angeles Times. But if key states in the East and Midwest back Obama, viewers will likely... More »

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California • New Mexico • Rick Davis • Nevada • Colorado • CBS News • exit polls • David Axelrod • Election 2008 • television news • network news • projections

analysis

Pollsters: Our Predictions Could Be Off

Cell phones, turnout, and prejudice threaten to skew forecasts

Oct 9, 08 8:55 AM CDT
(Newser) - Pollsters worry that a growing affinity for cell phones (most surveys rely on landlines), unspoken racial biases, and tough-to-predict turnout among young people and black people could skew their predictions come November, writes Mark Blumenthal in the National Journal. When pollsters "compare notes this year, worry is the prevailing... More »

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cell phones • poll • racism • exit polls • Election 2008 • pollsters

EXIT POLLS

 Obama Claws Back
 With Key Demos 

Surveys show candidate recovering from Pa. setback

May 7, 08 6:36 AM CDT
(Newser) - Barack Obama romped to victory in North Carolina and almost fought Hillary Clinton to a draw in Indiana by relying on his most loyal coalitions: young voters, African-Americans, and liberals. He also did better yesterday than in recent races among white men, pulling about 40% of that demo in Indiana.... More »

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Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • demographics • exit polls • Election 2008 • Indiana primary • North Carolina primary

Indiana, NC Voters Rate Economy
No. 1 Issue

Voters evenly divided over Wright effect

May 6, 08 6:21 PM CDT
(Newser) - In exit polling in both Indiana and North Carolina today, voters overwhelmingly said the economy was the No. 1 issue influencing their decision in the presidential primary. In Indiana, 65% said the economy was most important, compared to 60% in North Carolina. Asked if the recession had affected their lives,... More »

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Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Clinton 2008 • Obama 2008 • exit polls • Indiana primary • North Carolina primary

Blue-Collar White Voters Back Clinton

Exit polls give her big edge; he wins more than 90% of black vote

Apr 22, 08 7:43 PM CDT
(Newser) - Hillary Clinton fared especially well among white, blue-collar voters in Pennsylvania, exit polls show. She won two-thirds of their votes, her best showing among that group to date, the AP reports. She also won among women overall and late deciders. Barack Obama, meanwhile, won among young voters and affluent voters.... More »

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exit polls • Pennsylvania primary

Medvedev Wins in a Landslide

Putin pupil has asked current prez to be PM

Mar 2, 08 2:53 PM CST
(Newser) - On par with expectations, Dmitry Medvedev has won Russia’s presidential election with 69.6% of the vote, an exit poll says. His closest rival took just 17.2%. The victory likely means little change for Russia, as Medvedev has asked current president Vladimir Putin to be his prime minister... More »

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Russia • Vladimir Putin • KGB • Dmitry Medvedev • exit polls • Russian elections • presidential election • Gennady Zyuganov • Russian president • landslide victory

Hillary Coalition Collapses as Barack Lures Working Class

He wins white men
3-2 in Wisconsin

Feb 20, 08 5:48 AM CST
(Newser) - Barack Obama's 17-point victory in Wisconsin contains a major warning for Hillary Clinton: not only did the Illinois senator win among his usual coalition of well-educated, young and black voters, but he also captured the vote of the working class, particularly men. The "durable coalition" that Clinton strategist Mark... More »

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Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Wisconsin • demographics • Democratic presidential primaries • exit polls • Wisconsin primary • Election 2008

(Newser) - One question hanging over Super Tuesday primaries was whether Barack Obama could attract white supporters across the country more effectively than he had in his South Carolina win. Obama answered that in the affirmative, losing white voters last night to Hillary Clinton by a much narrower margin of 44% to... More »

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Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Super Tuesday • Latino voters • Democratic nomination • female voters • African-American voters • exit polls

16 Stories


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