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NEWS ABOUT: poll numbers

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Romney Needs to Go Positive, Win Some Fans

Nate Silver says Rick Santorum's voters are a lot more enthusiastic

(Newser) - Mitt Romney's got a big problem in his fight with Rick Santorum: His supporters are a lot less enthusiastic, observes Nate Silver of the New York Times . According to one poll, Santorum is beating Romney by 11 points among people who are definitely going to vote. Romney leads by... More »

Catholics Back Obama's Birth Control Mandate: Poll

Women especially want insurance to cover contraception

(Newser) - Bishops and pundits have been blasting President Obama over his decision to require all employers—including Catholic institutions—to offer health insurance plans that cover birth control. Peggy Noonan even predicted it would cost Obama the election . But a new poll, conducted by the Public Religion Research Institute , shows... More »

Blowout in Nevada? Romney Is on Track

Newt Gingrich is 20 points behind him in new poll

(Newser) - Mitt Romney appears poised for a crushing victory in Nevada, leading Newt Gingrich there by a whopping 45% to 25%, according to a new poll commissioned by the Las Vegas Review-Journal . Romney's total is powered by Nevada's comparatively large Mormon population, 85.5% of which says it intends... More »

Why Obama's Not Inevitable

There are plenty of reasons the president should be worried

(Newser) - Democrats, and many pundits, seem to believe that President Obama is rebounding, and will surely win re-election, but Jim Vandehei of Politico isn't buying it. Here's why he thinks the president should be sweating right now:
  • The economy: The recent CBO report not only projected another trillion-dollar deficit,
... More »

Romney Pulls Ahead of Gingrich in Florida

New poll shows Mitt at 38%, Newt at 29%

(Newser) - Mitt Romney is on a roll: After an impressive debate performance last night, he's No. 1 in Florida in a new poll. The Quinnipiac Poll has Romney with 38%, followed by Newt Gingrich with 29%, Ron Paul with 14%, and Rick Santorum with 12%. That's quite a difference... More »

Stakes Colossal for Newt Tonight

Polls show Romney may have stopped his momentum ahead of CNN Florida debate

(Newser) - The GOP field will have its last debate before the Florida primary tonight, and it just might be a doozy. Here's why:
  • Newt Gingrich's polling advantage may have vanished. The latest CNN poll has Mitt Romney at 36% and Gingrich at 34%, a statistical tie, and a far
... More »

Gingrich the Favorite in Florida

Nate Silver's model gives him a 75% chance of victory, with some 'buts'

(Newser) - With Florida less than a week away, Nate Silver is busily crunching the numbers, and while the polls are a tad contradictory, they do show a clear favorite: Newt Gingrich. Indeed, Silver's system gives Gingrich a whopping 75% chance of victory, although that "seems like too confident a... More »

Newt Leads Mitt in Fla., 34%-26%

Though Public Policy Polling says it's neck-and-neck

(Newser) - Newt Gingrich might just be on his way to another primary win. The latest InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research poll has Gingrich leading Romney 34.4% to 25.6% in Florida, followed by Ron Paul (13.1%) and Rick Santorum (10.7%). The poll has Gingrich leading Romney among every age and... More »

New Poll: Gingrich Actually Leading in SC

Gingrich at 34%, Romney at 28% in first night of tracking

(Newser) - We already knew Newt Gingrich was surging in South Carolina , but a new Public Policy Poll has even more dramatic results: Last night, the first of three nights of tracking, Gingrich actually led Mitt Romney 34% to 28%. Romney's 28% is consistent with the numbers PPP has seen in... More »

Newt Surges— Does SC Upset Loom?

Latest polls show 2-man race in South Carolina

(Newser) - Newt Gingrich is so close to Mitt Romney in South Carolina that an upset win is within the realm of possibility, according to a couple of new polls. Politico's numbers have Romney still leading the field with 37%, but Gingrich is close behind at 30%. Both are well ahead... More »

Romney's Lead Vanishing in South Carolina

Gingrich nipping at his heels in new poll

(Newser) - Could South Carolina be Mitt Romney's first stumbling block? A new Insider Advantage poll has Romney falling to 23% in the state, an insignificant two points ahead of Newt Gingrich's 21%. Rick Santorum is well behind them with 14%, followed by Ron Paul with 13%, Jon Huntsman with... More »

Santorum Closing on Mitt in SC

Newt Gingrich falls to third with 18%

(Newser) - Just a month ago, Newt Gingrich had a huge lead in South Carolina, and two months ago Rick Santorum was languishing at 1%. Times, they have a'changed. Santorum has vaulted into second with 24% of the vote in the latest Rasmussen poll , just behind Mitt Romney's 27%. Gingrich... More »

Romney Poised for Landslide Victory in NH

Ron Paul is a distant second in poll

(Newser) - Mitt Romney may have only squeaked out a win in Iowa, but he's going to cruise to an overwhelming victory next week in New Hampshire, according to the latest Suffolk University/7News poll . Romney leads all candidates with a whopping 41%; his closest competitor, Ron Paul, has just 18%, and... More »

In Iowa, Expect the Unexpected

...And a lot of spin afterward

(Newser) - History suggests that it doesn’t matter who actually wins tonight in Iowa—it matters who exceeds expectations, or fails to meet them. The media is always flabbergasted by strange Iowa finishes, but they shouldn’t be, writes Nate Silver of the New York Times , because thanks to unreliable polls... More »

Romney, Paul, Santorum 1-2-3 in Another Iowa Poll

And Santorum is surging

(Newser) - Yet another poll puts Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, and Rick Santorum 1-2-3 in Iowa two days before the state's caucuses. The poll, conducted by the Des Moines Register over four days last week, puts Romney at 24%, Paul at 22%, and Santorum at 15%. However, the pollster says, "... More »

Romney Takes Lead Over Obama

And it's his biggest lead yet

(Newser) - Mitt Romney has taken his biggest lead yet against President Obama in the latest Rasmussen Reports poll , winning the hypothetical matchup 45% to 39%, with 10% backing another candidate and 6% undecided. Last week, Rasmussen had Obama leading 44% to 41%. Neither candidate’s number is far afield from how... More »

Ron Paul Still Winning in Iowa

And people believe he could actually win

(Newser) - Public Policy Polling caused a stir with last week’s poll showing Ron Paul leading in Iowa, and it looks like the result wasn’t a fluke. PPP’s numbers barely budged this week, with Paul leading Romney 24% to 20% and both comfortably ahead of the rest of the... More »

Careful, Mitt: You Could Lose

Nate Silver doesn't think it's especially likely, but it's possible

(Newser) - Conventional wisdom has crowned Mitt Romney the inevitable Republican nominee. His stock on Intrade shot up to 72% last night, and one of his strategists recently boasted that he couldn’t “see any scenario where we’re not the nominee." But calm down guys, writes Nate Silver in... More »

No. 1 in Iowa: Ron Paul

As Newt Gingrich plummets

(Newser) - Don’t look now, but the frontrunner in Iowa might be ... Ron Paul?! According to the latest Public Policy Polling survey , the oft-dismissed libertarian is leading the field with 23% compared to Mitt Romney’s 20%. Newt Gingrich, meanwhile, is sinking fast, down to 14%, just ahead of Michele Bachmann,... More »

Gingrich on Top in New Poll

He's in a dead heat with Romney, according to a USA Today/Gallup poll

(Newser) - Newt Gingrich is getting his turn on the merry-go-round that has been the top spot in Republican primary polling. A new USA Today / Gallup poll has Gingrich on top among registered Republican voters with 22%, though that’s just a hair ahead of Mitt Romney’s 21% and within... More »

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