US gross domestic product

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Economy Shrank 1% in Q1

It's the first time since 2011—but it's temporary: economists

(Newser) - For the first time since 2011, the US economy shrank in the first quarter—by 1%. Economists expected a 0.5% drop, but tell the AP that the Q1 numbers had to do with the harsh winter. Thanks to stronger manufacturing, faster job growth, and more retail spending, the fall... More »

Economy Grew 4.1% in Q3

It's the best mark since 2011

(Newser) - The US' GDP grew at a 4.1% annualized rate in the third quarter, its best showing since the last three months of 2011, the Commerce Department announced today. The number is revised upward from the Department's initial 3.6% estimate. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had been expecting that... More »

Q3's GDP Growth Could Be Rosiest of Year

Economists expect it will be revised upward, to 2.9%: Bloomberg

(Newser) - The US gross domestic product appears to have actually grown at a 2.9% annual rate between July and September, the fastest quarterly growth seen this year. That rate, via analysts at Goldman Sachs and Barclays, is higher than the Commerce Department's initial estimate of 2.0% —and... More »

Only 12% Chance We'll Return to Recession

Forecast fastest expansion in years on consumer spending

(Newser) - Economists are growing more optimistic about this year’s climate, predicting it will expand at its fastest pace since 2003, the Wall Street Journal reports. The paper polled 51 economists. Among the highlights:
  • Economists see only a 12% risk of returning to recession, compared to 22% in September.
  • In the
... More »

Economy Grew at 3.2% Rate in Q4

Consumer spending grew at fastest pace in 5 years

(Newser) - Spurred by consumer spending and a shrinking trade deficit, the economy grew at a 3.2% annual rate in the fourth quarter. That beats the previous quarter's 2.6% but falls short of analysts' expectations of 3.5%. Still, "a number above 3% should drive a stake through the... More »

Economy Grew Modestly in 3rd Quarter

2.6% rate beats predictions; economics optimistic for year's end

(Newser) - The US economy grew at a moderate pace last summer, reflecting stronger spending by businesses to replenish stockpiles. More recent barometers suggest the economy is gaining momentum in the final months of the year. Gross domestic product increased at a 2.6% annual rate in the July-September quarter, the Commerce... More »

GDP Grows 2% in Q3

Growth fits economists' predictions

(Newser) - The economy grew slightly faster over the summer as Americans spent a little more freely: The GDP grew at a 2% rate during the third quarter, in line with what economists had forecast. It marks a slight improvement over last quarter, when the GDP grew at a 1.7% rate.... More »

Recession Ended Last June, Analysts Say

Tell that to the unemployed, who are likely to stay that way for years

(Newser) - Break out the champagne: The recession is over! In fact, it’s been over since June 2009, according to a new report from the National Bureau of Economic Research, an unofficial group that marks the start and end of such economic events. Things may not be great, the committee concluded,... More »

Dow Falls 56 Despite Jump in GDP

Microsoft falls 4.5% despite strong profits

(Newser) - Stocks saw losses today as investors proved unmoved by the striking 5.7% jump in GDP for the second quarter. Microsoft led a broad decline in tech stocks despite reporting strong growth in quarterly profits, the Wall Street Journal reports.
  • The Dow fell 53.13 points to close at 10,
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Q3 GDP Growth More Like 2.8% Than 3.5%

Spending and home prices are up, but not enough to help jobs

(Newser) - The government’s optimistic reading of GDP growth in the 3rd quarter was distorted by a pair of rose-tinted glasses, it now says. The Commerce Department has revised its estimate down to 2.8% from 3.5% on evidence that stimulus programs like Cash for Clunkers and the homebuyers' tax... More »

US GDP Jump Hollow if Unemployment Keeps Rising

... and it's still rising faster than before recession

(Newser) - News that the US gross domestic product jumped 3.5% in the third quarter cheered investors and others, but the cheers will ring hollow if unemployment keeps rising, John Authers writes. Consumer spending rose even as disposable income fell—“ not a pattern that can be sustained for long, and... More »

Record $1.4T Deficit Imperils Recovery

Gap dwarfs FY2008 figure, spells trouble for new stimulus plans

(Newser) - The federal deficit in the fiscal year that ended Sept. 30 was $1.4 trillion, lower than projected but still a record. At 10% of GDP, the figure is the largest since 1945, when the deficit was 21.5% of GDP. The figure made public today coincides with early rumblings... More »

Good News: We've Hit Bottom!

Of course, the bad news is: We've hit bottom!

(Newser) - Former Fed vice chairman Alan Blinder has some good news and some bad news about the economy, and it’s the same news: We’ve hit bottom. Third-quarter GDP should turn positive, and the fourth quarter could even hold an upside surprise. Growth of 3% or even 4% is utterly... More »

Cap-and-Trade Bill 'Biggest Tax in US History'

(Newser) - The cap-and-trade climate legislation that could come up for a House vote tomorrow makes no economic sense and “is likely to be the biggest tax in American history,” write the editors of the Wall Street Journal. Democrats are defending the bill with an incomplete Congressional Budget Office estimate... More »

Dow Surges Despite GDP Dip

Drop isn't as bad as feared, and rate cuts abroad cheer US traders

(Newser) - Stocks jumped at the opening bell, as international rallies helped offset a shrinking US economy, the Wall Street Journal reports. Gross domestic product shrank at a seasonally adjusted 0.3% annual rate from July to September; the not-as-bad-as-feared figure sent the Dow up 201 points at the open before dipping... More »

Economy Grew at a Crawl in First Quarter

What happened to the recession?

(Newser) - The US Gross Domestic Product rose at a 0.6% annual pace in the first quarter, despite the widespread belief that the economy is in recession, Bloomberg reports. The number stayed positive thanks to a surge in inventories, which offset flagging consumer spending and business investment. “We think we're... More »

GDP Growth Weakest Since '02

0.6% increase matches estimates; markets still focused on credit issues

(Newser) - The US economy sputtered—as expected—in the fourth quarter of 2007, growing at the slowest rate since 2002, MarketWatch reports. Estimated growth of the US gross domestic product was 0.6% for the last three months of 2007, matching economists' forecasts. Consumer spending grew 2.3%, and exports increased... More »

17 Stories