battleground states

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Poll Shows Trump Leading Biden in Decisive States

Voters in battlegrounds suggest they're switching sides this time

(Newser) - Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in five of the six swing states that figure to be critical to winning the 2024 presidential election, a new poll shows, with voters expressing concern or unhappiness over the president's age and job performance. At the same time, the New York Times reports,...

Polls in a Crucial State Illustrate Trump's Challenge
Ahead of Debate, Polls
in Crucial State May Be Telling
the rundown
Sep 29, 2020 12:44 PM CDT

Ahead of Debate, Polls in Crucial State May Be Telling

President trails Biden by 9 points in Pennsylvania, though this is similar to 2016 numbers

(Newser) - Two new polls out of the pivotal state of Pennsylvania are getting lots of attention ahead of the first presidential debate . Both show Joe Biden up by 9 points over President Trump, with Biden seeming to make inroads with groups that backed the president in the 2016 race. Coverage:
  • The
...

After the Primaries, an Ominous Sign on Mail-In Ballots

At least 500,000 rejected, signaling a possible 'mess' in the general, especially in swing states

(Newser) - All eyes are trained on Nov. 3, expected to be the most chaotic election in modern US history. Now, a new possible wrench that has some worried the battle may be prolonged way past Election Day, as well as about disenfranchisement. The Washington Post reports that nearly 535,000 mail-in...

Battleground States Are Tilting Toward Biden

He's up in 6 states Trump carried in 2016, and by double digits in some of them

(Newser) - The latest polls haven't been good news for President Trump, and a new one from the New York Times and Siena College has a particularly rough takeaway for his campaign: Joe Biden is leading in six pivotal battleground states. The survey, taken June 8-18, has Biden up in Michigan...

Clinton Buys $63K in Weather Channel Ads Pre-Hurricane

This could be a smart buy in battleground state of Florida—or it could backfire

(Newser) - One wouldn't think buying commercial spots on the Weather Channel would be the obvious media choice for presidential candidates vying for votes, but with Hurricane Matthew barreling toward the battleground states of Florida and North Carolina just a month before Election Day, that's exactly what Hillary Clinton's...

Polls: Trump, Clinton Basically Tied in 2 Swing States

Hillary has 1-point lead in Pennsylvania, Trump in Colorado

(Newser) - New CNN/ORC polls released Monday have Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump practically in a dead heat in two battleground states, with just one point separating the two, CNN reports. In Colorado , Trump is the one in the lead, nabbing 42% of likely voters to Clinton's 41% (Libertarian Gary Johnson...

Democrats Think 3 Long-Red States Are in Play

Arizona, Georgia, and even Utah

(Newser) - Hillary Clinton's campaign has stepped up its efforts to win two states that haven't voted Democratic in a presidential election since another Clinton was on the ballot: Arizona and Georgia. Perhaps more surprising, they have hopes in Utah, too. Democratic sources tell the Washington Post that Clinton's...

An Hour-by-Hour Guide to Election Night

Things start cooking at 6pm EST

(Newser) - Today's the day ... but not much will happen until tonight. An hourly rundown of what to watch for in the quest for the big 270 (all times EST):
  • 6pm: And the polls start closing! Indiana and Kentucky are the first to close a portion of their polls. The states
...

Let the 3-Day Home Stretch Begin

Romney, Obama hit the swing states

(Newser) - Quick, rattle off as many of the "battleground states" as you can. Points for Ohio, Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada, Wisconsin, Iowa, and New Hampshire. Partial credit for Pennsylvania, where Mitt Romney is still hoping for an upset, reports AP . And now you have a good idea where...

Orlando Sentinel Switches to Romney

Florida paper had endorsed Obama last time around

(Newser) - Good news for Mitt Romney out of the battleground state of Florida: After endorsing President Obama in 2008, the Orlando Sentinel is backing Romney this time around, CNN reports. Its reasons: "anemic" economic growth and the increasing poverty rate. "We have little confidence that Obama would be more...

Nate Silver's 1st Forecast: Obama By a Nose
Nate Silver's 1st Forecast:
Obama By a Nose
Analysis
Jun 7, 2012 1:50 PM CDT

Nate Silver's 1st Forecast: Obama By a Nose

FiveThirtyEight guru lays out 2012 model

(Newser) - OK, it's official, the general election season has begun: Nate Silver has started forecasting it. The stats guru today unveiled his first, tenuous prediction for the 2012 race: That President Obama is ever so slightly favored to win a second term. The model currently gives Obama a 60% chance...

Google May Have Misdirected Thousands of Voters

Election Center polling place finder packed with errors

(Newser) - Hundreds of thousands of voters who used Google to find their assigned polling places may have been sent to the wrong spot. Aristotle, a political technology firm that makes a polling place finder of its own, calculates that one of Google's Election Center apps may have given the wrong information...

McAuliffe Denies DNC Offered Money to Nader

Spokesman slams Nader's claim he was bribed to avoid key states in '04

(Newser) - Ralph Nader's claim that then-DNC chairman Terry McAuliffe offered him cash to stay out of key state races in 2004 is far from the truth, McAuliffe campaign strategist Mo Elleithee tells the Blue Virginia blog. McAuliffe did speak to Nader—who Elleithee claims was being funded by the GOP—to...

Politico's Play-by-Play Guide to Game Time Tonight

(Newser) - At 5 tonight, a wave of exit-polling results will be distributed to media insiders, who'll try manfully to resist sharing anything that might prejudice voters—even though it will kill them. At 6 pm, the results will start rolling in, and Politico gives you a play-by-play guide to what to...

Undecided Voters Agree: Choosing Is Tough

Undecideds waiting for candidates to provide tell-tale slip-up

(Newser) - Undecided voters want one thing from John McCain and Barack Obama: a reason to vote for one of them—or not. “I’m waiting for one of them to shoot himself in the leg,” one torn Floridian tells the LA Times. "I just don't trust politicians,"...

Amish Could Give McCain Crucial Swing-State Support

Many members of sect, concentrated in Ohio, Pa., voted Bush in '04

(Newser) - With John McCain now focused on winning Ohio, Indiana and Pennsylvania, he could get help from a group that has traditionally avoided politics: the Amish. When they do vote, Amish are thought to be 100% Republican because of their views on abortion, Benjamin Sarlin writes in the Daily Beast; George...

Candidates Bombard Swing States With Radio Ads

Campaigns like low cost, lower accountability

(Newser) - Although conventional radio may seem obsolete, it is an important tool of the presidential campaigns this year, USA Today reports. Political advertising is flooding the airwaves in battleground states as the campaigns take advantage of the cost: $500 to $600 per airing for a 30-second spot in Northern Virginia, compared...

Miss Virginia Strikes Back at GOP Slight

'Real Virginia' swipe ruffles feathers of 3-time winner

(Newser) - Miss Virginia has entered the fray. Former crown wearer Kristi Lauren Glakas takes exception to the division of her state by a top McCain adviser into the "real Virginia" of the conservative South and the urban northern suburbs of DC. Glakas, an honor student at UVA who's won three...

Obama Takes Big Leads in Big Ten Country: Polls

Crucial Midwestern battlegrounds show sizable advantages for Democrat

(Newser) - Barack Obama enjoys sizable leads in crucial Midwestern states, a Big Ten Battleground poll shows. Across Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Minnesota—home to the universities in the Big Ten Conference and key battlegrounds in previous elections—Obama leads John McCain by margins of at least 10%.

Hillary, Obama Blitz Fla. for Early Votes

Clinton, Obama take to the stage together as Dems battle to flip the Sunshine State

(Newser) - Hillary Clinton threw herself into the battle for Florida as early voters packed polling places yesterday, the Washington Post reports. Barack Obama, pulling out all stops in an effort to flip the state to the Democratic side, led a crowd of 50,000 in chants of "Hil-lar-y" as the...

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