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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 26, 2009
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NEWS ABOUT: Nate Silver

Nate Silver stories: 35 news summaries

21 - 35 of 35 Stories | << Prev 1 2

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Analysis

Ethics Scandal Is No Waterloo for Palin

Gov will skate past latest allegations unscathed: Nate Silver

Jul 22, 09 10:50 AM CDT
(Newser) - The latest ethics complaint against Sarah Palin—investigators believe she misused her position to solicit personal legal donations—won’t leave a scratch, writes Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com. Here’s how to predict which scandals will make it big:
  • Can it be reduced to a sound bite?
... More »

MORE ABOUT:
ethics • scandal • Sarah Palin • Nate Silver • Alaska Fund Trust

(Newser) - A pre-election poll of Iranian voters favoring Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has been held up as proof that the election was fair. Not so, writes Nate Silver on FiveThirtyEight.com. The poll, conducted by Terror Free Tomorrow, found that 33.8% of respondents intended to vote for Ahmadinejad, versus 13.6% for... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Iran • Mahmoud Ahmadinejad • coercion • fear • polling • opinion polls • Nate Silver • Iranian election • Mir Hossein Mousavi • Terror Free Tomorrow

OPINION

Zagat Is Wrong:
Peet's Is Better Than Starbucks

Bad methodology gave Seattle giant the survey win: Nate Silver

Jun 9, 09 11:27 AM CDT
(Newser) - Zagat’s annual fast-food survey served up its usual batch of surprises, but one stood out for Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com fame. Somehow, some way, Starbucks beat Peet’s Coffee for best coffee chain. A travesty of that magnitude can only mean mistaken methodology, Silver contends; Starbucks is fine,... More »

MORE ABOUT:
San Francisco • Starbucks • coffee • statistics • Peet's Coffee • Zagats • Nate Silver • coffee shop

Analysis

Republicans Hang Pawlenty Out to Dry

By refusing to certify Franken, Minn. gov risks own future

May 6, 09 12:14 PM CDT
(Newser) - By refusing to certify Al Franken’s Senate win, Tim Pawlenty is taking a big political risk, writes Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com. The Minnesota governor’s numbers have dropped precipitously since November; he currently has just a 46% approval rating, with 50% disapproving. The Franken/Coleman fracas may not bear... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Norm Coleman • Minnesota • Tim Pawlenty • Al Franken • Nate Silver

Analysis

Republicans Take Page From Libertarian Book

From tea parties to budget proposals,
GOP changes tune

Apr 22, 09 12:42 PM CDT
(Newser) - It looks as though the GOP is turning libertarian, says Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com. The tea parties it championed last week take their cue from libertarian movement shindigs, and participation was high in libertarian-leaning states like New Hampshire. The GOP’s alternative budget was a like-minded proposal, "dramatically... More »

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New Hampshire • GOP • Mike Huckabee • Olympia Snowe • Ron Paul • libertarian • Glenn Beck • libertarianism • Sarah Palin • Gallup poll • Gallup • political strategy • Nate Silver • Republicans • tea parties

Analysis

Coleman-Like Tactics Won't Swing NY Race

Tedisco challenges Gillibrand's own ballot, and he's still doomed

Apr 15, 09 11:37 AM CDT
(Newser) - Jim Tedisco is doing everything in the book to try to drag out the race to replace Kirsten Gillibrand in Congress—including challenging the new US senator's own ballot—but he's doomed to failure, writes Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com. Democrat Scott Murphy has received 53% of the absentee ballots... More »

MORE ABOUT:
New York • House of Representatives • Norm Coleman • recount • Nate Silver • Kirsten Gillibrand • Scott Murphy • Jim Tedisco

Analysis

How Much Is Senate Fight Worth to Coleman?

Numbers don't add up in improbable challenge: Silver

Apr 14, 09 12:00 PM CDT
(Newser) - Norm Coleman’s chances of victory are so thin they’ve entered “Calista Flockhart territory,” yet he shows no sign of winding down his expensive legal battle, writes Nate Silver, the stat guru behind FiveThirtyEight.com. Just how expensive? Silver estimates that Coleman’s spending about $20,740... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Senate • Norm Coleman • Minnesota • Al Franken • Nate Silver • Minnesota Supreme Court

(Newser) - Forget the old saw that the state of the economy dictates who wins in midterm elections. There are too many exceptions. The better predictor is presidential popularity, writes Nate Silver in Esquire. The correlation between a president's Gallup rating immediately before the midterms and his party's performance is "very... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Congress • Gallup • Nate Silver • President Obama

(Newser) - If Barack Obama is lucky, and the predictions of most economists indicate he will be, the US economy will emerge from recession long before the populace expects it to, Nate Silver writes on FiveThirtyEight. And “it will be quite some time yet before the public pins most of the... More »

MORE ABOUT:
recession • economist • survey • approval ratings • opinion polls • Obama administration • financial crisis • Nate Silver • President Obama

analysis

Obama's
Agenda Tilts Left—If He Can Pay for It

Tax-cut fight may
define his first year

Nov 25, 08 8:17 PM CST
(Newser) - Will Obama be a progressive president or more of a centrist? Stop looking at Cabinet picks, suggests Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com, and look instead to the president-elect's website. Silver went through Obama's policies and charted them on the political spectrum. The result tilts strongly left on domestic policy, less... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Barack Obama • tax cuts • Nate Silver • President Obama

Analysis

Silver Predicts 27-Vote Recount Victory for Franken

If you believe the statistics, Minnesota's getting a Democratic senator

Nov 24, 08 11:17 AM CST
(Newser) - If you believe in the math, get ready to welcome the new Democratic senator from Minnesota: Statistics guru Nate Silver, on FiveThirtyEight.com, predicts a 27-vote Al Franken victory. The numbers get a bit tricky, but it all hinges on a strong trend toward Franken picking up votes from Norm... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Norm Coleman • Minnesota • Al Franken • Senate race • paper ballots • Election 2008 • recount • US Senate • Nate Silver

ANALYSIS

State Job Isn't Guarantee She Succeeds Obama: Silver

Staying out of Obama administration, popular or not, seems better role

Nov 17, 08 1:10 PM CST
(Newser) - Hillary Clinton is a contender to be Barack Obama’s Secretary of State, but taking the job probably wouldn’t help her if she wants to succeed Obama in 2016, Nate Silver writes on FiveThirtyEight. Being part of a popular Democratic administration certainly wouldn’t hurt, but it would be... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Cabinet • secretary of State • Democratic presidential candidates • Obama administration • Nate Silver • President Obama

Polling Guru Nabs $700K Book Deal

Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight fame will write two tomes

Nov 15, 08 11:58 AM CST
(Newser) - Polling expert Nate Silver, the statistical mastermind behind FiveThirtyEight.com, has a new number to crunch: $700,000. That’s roughly how much Silver will net in his new two-book deal with Penguin, the New York Observer reports. Silver will pen one tome on the art of prediction, and... More »

MORE ABOUT:
statistics • book • predictions • Penguin Group • poll numbers • book sale • Nate Silver

 Polls: 
 Obama Widens 
 National Lead 

Democrat opens up 5.8 point lead over John McCain

Nov 3, 08 6:04 AM CST
(Newser) - In the final hours, Barack Obama's national lead in the polls is still inching up, writes Nate Silver at Fivethirtyeight.com, to 5.8 points by late last night from 5.4 earlier in the afternoon. Silver's analysis of the latest polls also predicts that Obama stands to win more... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Barack Obama • John McCain • polling • Election 2008 • poll numbers • Nate Silver

ANALYSIS

John McCain, Here's How You Can Still Win This Election

Forget about Pa.; focus on Virginia, Florida, FiveThirtyEight says

Oct 26, 08 12:11 PM CDT
(Newser) - John McCain, the polls aren’t looking good and your running mate is being accused of going “rogue,” but Nate Silver has some advice on how you can still eke out a victory. “No razzle-dazzle here,” Silver writes for FiveThirtyEight, “McCain simply has to pick... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Florida • John McCain • Iowa • Wisconsin • electoral college • New Hampshire • New Mexico • Ohio • North Carolina • Pennsylvania • Indiana • Virginia • Minnesota • Missouri • Colorado • Nate Silver

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