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October 8, 2008 5:21:31 AM CDT

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Stories related to: Intrade

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4 Stories

  • August 2008

    • Want Predictions? Bet on Markets, Not Polls

      Daily Telegraph (UK)  |  Aug 18, 08 7:23 PM CDT

      Want Predictions? Bet on Markets, Not Polls

      (Newser) - Opinion polls have a spotty track record when it comes to predicting political events, Paul Parsons writes in the Telegraph . He recommends a clearer crystal ball: futures markets, such as the University of Iowa’s Electronic Market. Functionally the same as a financial market, IEM allows individuals to bet between 1 cent and $1 on the likelihood of political events. More »

      Tags

      Barack Obama  • John McCain  • Election 2008  • election  • Intrade  • prediction markets

  • March 2008

    • Traders Bet On McCain vs. Obama

      CNN  |  Mar 4, 08 10:00 AM CST

      Traders Bet On McCain vs. Obama

      (Newser) - Traders in online prediction markets are betting on Barack Obama and John McCain as the winners in their respective primaries today. The Intrade and Iowa Electronic futures markets let traders wager real money on outcomes political and otherwise; both markets give Obama's chances for winning the nomination as almost 80%, reports CNNMoney. More »

      Tags

      Barack Obama  • John McCain  • Hillary Clinton  • futures market  • Intrade

  • January 2008
  • March 2007

    • Futures Market Predicts Libby Pardon

      CNN  |  Mar 11, 07 4:28 PM CDT

      Futures Market Predicts Libby Pardon

      (Newser) - Traders at the online market Intrade.com betting big that President Bush will pardon Scooter Libby.  CNN reports that at the "prediction market," where people buy and sell futures contracts on real-world events, 63 percent of traders are bullish on the prospect of Libby receiving a pardon before the end of Bush's term. One in four think a pardon will come before the end of the year. More »

      Tags

      George W. Bush  • Internet  • Lewis Scooter Libby  • trade  • Intrade  • futures contracts

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