Skip to: Content
Skip to: Site Navigation
Skip to: Search

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 9, 2010
 |  Follow Newser on Twitter   Friend Newser on Facebook   Subscribe to Newser's RSS feeds   Subscribe to Newser emails Newsletters

OFF THE GRID

Can Facebook Be Saved?

Jun 3, 09 | 7:59 AM   byMichael Wolff
Get posts from Michael Wolff via email (Sample)

Follow him on Twitter @MichaelWolffNYC

Share
I would like you to tell me if you know what this means:

“The long-rumored payments system, which is in its early stages, will allow users to purchase Facebook ‘credits,’ then use those credits to buy virtual goods from the third-party applications that run on the site, or from Facebook itself.”

This, according to the Financial Times, is one of the ways Facebook plans to make money. It may be that this quagmire of language came about because they have bad writers at the Financial Times, but more likely it is because Facebook itself is in the swamp of a sinking business model.

Anyway, as far as I can tell, what Facebook would like to happen is for software developers to sell digital stuff with Facebook and allow Facebook to act as a digital credit card, taking a few pennies off every purchase.

Digital stuff means mostly games and music—though maybe, somehow, other stuff, too, making Facebook, from the FT’s mouth to God’s ear, “a significant e-commerce player.”

“Over time, this will be very significant,” one Ray Valdes, an analyst with Gartner Research, told the FT. “Social networking sites have suffered with monetizing [their services], but this leverages [the fact that] users are there on Facebook.”

This too means nothing—or it means that if Facebook can turn the idea of social networking into the idea of eBay it could perhaps make money.

“Potentially you’re looking at Facebook as a shopping portal and a source for music downloads,” one consultant, reaching for a ray of optimism, assures the FT. (What usually happens in these instances is the reporter calls up the analyst who, because he desperately wants his name in the paper, strives to say something that the reporter will quote, even if the analyst has no idea what to say.) Yes, well, so this means that Facebook will be competing not just against eBay, but against iTunes. That’s a business plan: Go up against entrenched market leaders.

The FT story also notes that Facebook recently agreed to a $200 million investment from something called Digital Sky Technologies, identified as a “private Russian Internet investment group.” The FT did not point this out with any apparent intonation or raised eyebrows. But it should have. “A private Russian Internet investment group,” indeed. Not only was Facebook obviously and desperately searching far and wide—and coming up with nobody better—before it took dough from the Russians, but the investment values the company at $10 billion, a dramatic fall from the last time Facebook was in the market for investors.

The Financial Times story was written as though this is all good news for Facebook. But let me tell you what it means: It’s all bad news.

More of Newser founder Michael Wolff's articles and commentary can be found at VanityFair.com, where he writes a regular column. He can be emailed at michael@newser.com.
12 comments
VIEWING:
 
Reader81824300
Jun 3, 09 11:10 AM CDT
wow what a brilliant idea. i just figured out how to make six figures by next summer. see ya in the Hamptons. Oh, i would tell how this works - but i'll have to bill you for that type of info. Reply
Vote up! Vote down!
+1
polstroad
Jun 3, 09 1:16 PM CDT
From what I have seen on FaceLift, it has been free. and worth every penny. Charge?and bye bye. Reply
Vote up! Vote down!
+1
deebles
Jun 3, 09 1:48 PM CDT
Tough situation: trying to charge for the spilt milk you're crying over because you gave the cow away for free. Reply
Vote up! Vote down!
0
IN RESPONSE:
ack
Jun 7, 09 10:14 AM CDT
Too... many... metaphors... can't... process.... ;-)
Vote up! Vote down!
0
Reader3181
Jun 3, 09 1:48 PM CDT
Have you ever really thought that guy Zuckerberg had any idea what he was doing? Reply
Vote up! Vote down!
0
IN RESPONSE:
MichaelWolff
Jun 3, 09 2:28 PM CDT
He does always seem to have a strange look in his eyes.
Vote up! Vote down!
0
fancygapva
Jun 3, 09 2:43 PM CDT
Who cares? We'll know soon because those who need constant digital validation will pay. Have you not heard of Second Life? or people who pay kids in Japan and China to rack up points and power objects for them on game sites? Lots of people practically LIVE in those virtual worlds. They will pay. That goofy looking kid who started it knows where it's at. FYI I don't live on facebook but I am hooked on Newser. Think Newser will survive? Reply
Vote up! Vote down!
+1
IN RESPONSE:
MichaelWolff
Jun 3, 09 3:03 PM CDT
Touché.
Vote up! Vote down!
0
IN RESPONSE:
deebles
Jun 4, 09 1:28 PM CDT
Newser better survive now that Diller has that ad on his home page. I get seasick before I can even click.
Vote up! Vote down!
0
jhvictor
Jun 3, 09 6:21 PM CDT
I'd suggest www.myyearbook.com - a social network for high schoolers - has beat Facebook to the punch. Check this - http://vip.myyearbook.com. The advantage Facebook has is that its audience is significantly larger. Quite frankly, I don't know the psychology of why people will buy it, but be assured they will. I mean just read some of the messages people leave one another. I know several husband and wives who communicate to each other on thier 'walls'. The Gen X,Y, and Z crowd is so digitally connected that it will be seen better to spend $3.95 on Facebook that at a Hallmark store. Who has time for that -- when you can type 140 characters in less than 15 seconds --- we live in interesting times. Reply
Vote up! Vote down!
0
PWHG
Jun 4, 09 6:56 AM CDT
Also, can Twitter be saved? This exchange with Stone and Williams at WSJ's All Things Digital says it all: AUDIENCE MEMBER: In a couple years, what do you think is going to be the key way you’re going to be bringing in money? Do you think it will be targeted ads, a tiered service where people are paying, or something else that we don’t know about? MR. STONE:I like that third thing that you just said, something else that we don’t know about. That’s been a huge part of Twitter—not putting too much fidelity on Twitter too early. If we did that we would be closing off an entire realm of amazing possibilities. That’s what the API and the platform has taught us—you need to leave room for emergence to take place. We want to leave room for that in the way that we structure the company. We want to leave room for that in the features that we build, keeping it simple and letting people do interesting things with them; and we want to keep that same ethos when we develop monetization models. MR. WILLIAMS:It’s not to say we don’t know some ways that will make money. And those first two you named, we’re going to start trying some stuff. But I think we’ve learned that to speculate what exactly is going to work is naïve. Reply
Vote up! Vote down!
0
fredwilson
Jun 6, 09 9:49 AM CDT
michael there is already about $300mm per year changing hands in virtual goods in the facebook ecosystem via social gaming this is all about facebook getting a piece of that all these people who make fun of facebook and other social nets ought to get their heads out of the sand and see what's really going on Reply
Vote up! Vote down!
0
LEAVE A
COMMENT
Comment Policy
Facebook ConnectPost this comment to Facebook?

After connecting you will have the option to post your comment on your Facebook profile.

 
RECENT POSTS
Feb 9, 10 | 7:46 AM

It’s the Sex, Stupid   

Feb 8, 10 | 7:10 AM

For Me, Palin Scores

Feb 5, 10 | 8:39 AM

Politics Has Lost Its Power. That’s Why There’s Gridlock

Feb 4, 10 | 8:07 AM

Rupert Murdoch Is Mad as Hell

Feb 3, 10 | 8:00 AM

Sarah Palin, Inc. Has a Problem

Feb 2, 10 | 12:14 PM

Obama’s Deficit Faux-Hawk

Feb 2, 10 | 8:32 AM

Jenny Sanford, Andrew Young, Gayle Haggard Tell Everything You Always Want to Know About Sex—Other People's

Feb 1, 10 | 8:12 AM

James O’Keefe: What Did Glenn Beck Know, and When Did He Know It?

Jan 29, 10 | 7:02 AM

JD Salinger, and His Way, Are Dead

Jan 28, 10 | 6:57 AM

The iPad Is Political

ABOUT

OFF THE GRID is about why the news is the news. Here are the real motivations of both media and newsmakers. Here's the backstory. This is a look at the inner workings of desperate media, the inner life of the publicity crazed, and the true meaning of the news of the day.

FeedRSS