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Actually, Straw Poll Taught Us Nothing

Florida straw poll too unrepresentative to be useful

By Mark Russell,  Newser Staff

Posted Sep 25, 2011 7:25 AM CDT

(Newser) – The Florida straw poll yesterday that saw Herman Cain trounce the competition means ... well, nothing, writes Ben Adler in the Nation. Cain received 37% of the vote, compared to 15% for Rick Perry and 14% for Mitt Romney. "In the usual manner of these inane expectations’ games, the loss for Perry is seen as worse than for Romney because (he) attempted to win the Florida straw poll and Romney did not," says Adler.

Michele Bachmann's 1.5% has led many pundits to claim that she's a spent force in the nomination cycle, but that's equally absurd, says Adler. At $175 per person, the Florida straw poll just doesn't attract enough voters to be representative of the state's true feelings—Cain's 37% came from just 996 votes. "Straw polls ... are not good proxies for future primary results," he writes. "No such grand conclusions should be drawn from this meaningless, non-binding contest."

Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain speaks prior to Florida's President 5 straw poll at the Orange County Convention Center yesterday.
Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain speaks prior to Florida's President 5 straw poll at the Orange County Convention Center yesterday.   (Getty Images)
Republican presidential candidate businessman Herman Cain, speaks to delegates before straw poll during a Florida Republican Party Presidency 5 Convention yesterday.
Republican presidential candidate businessman Herman Cain, speaks to delegates before straw poll during a Florida Republican Party Presidency 5 Convention yesterday.   (AP Photo/John Raoux)
Herman Cain speaks prior to Florida's President 5 straw poll at the Orange County Convention Center on September 24, 2011 in Orlando. Cain won the straw poll with 37.11%.
Herman Cain speaks prior to Florida's President 5 straw poll at the Orange County Convention Center on September 24, 2011 in Orlando. Cain won the straw poll with 37.11%.   (Getty Images)
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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 10 comments
beckinista
Sep 25, 2011 8:29 PM CDT
The Florida Republican Straw Ballot delegates are not just a bunch of people who happened to toss away $175.00.  They are the committed core of Florida Republican activity, with the number of delegates selected from each county proportionate to that county's population.  As such, they ARE a fair representation of the state.  The Dem's - and the liberal press - would probably like either Romney of Perry to win, because they are both RINO's.  Ron Paul's supporters are twisting numbers to make it look like HE's ahead, but Paul's foreign policies are so extreme that the majority of Republicans would never vote for him, while his domestic policies keep the Dem's at bay. As a delegate, NO pressure was put on me as to who I should vote for.    I did not vote for Herman Cain, but he was my second choice.  As my guy polled 4th, I started looking closer at Cain as a viable candidate, and the closer I look, the better HE looks.  Another poster to this board recognized the fact that "...people are always saying polls are meaningless when those they don't support win them." So true, so true.  In my opinion, Perry is imploding like a black hole, and Romney's battling with him is going to suck HIM in as well.  Once they're done, Herman's the one!  Besides, if Herman Cain is the nominee, it's gonna be hard for the Left to call the Right 'racists' for not voting for Obama.  Or, as a bumper sticker soon to be on my car says, "You voted for Obama to prove you're not racist.  Now vote for Cain to prove you're not stupid."
HarryBeaver
Sep 25, 2011 6:04 PM CDT
Straw men
sonaxj
Sep 25, 2011 9:15 AM CDT
I wonder if it would have meant something if either of the two media poster boys, Perry and Romney, had won.  Cain and Ron Paul are the only debaters because they know what they want from the presidency.  The others answer questions while trying to figure out what we want to hear.
 

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